AGATHANo gut feelings

Michigan vs Minnesota Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKMichiganAWAYMichigan

FINAL

1420

MinnesotaHOMEMinnesota
54%WIN CHANCEMichigan to WinLOST#131 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 54%

Agatha's pick: Michigan to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Minnesota 20, Michigan 14

SEALED ODDS
-220FanDuel
CLOSING ODDS
-250FanDuel, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
3:27 PM ETreceipt #131

Game Center

Team1234T
Michigan0140014
Minnesota7031020

Leaders

  • Drake Lindsey (MINN): 17/25, 136 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • TJ Thomas (MINN): 12 CAR, 56 YDS
  • Noah Jennings (MINN): 7 REC, 70 YDS
  • Bryce Underwood (MICH): 10/21, 101 YDS, 2 INT
  • Jordan Marshall (MICH): 10 CAR, 50 YDS, 1 TD
  • JJ Buchanan (MICH): 4 REC, 50 YDS
Michigan

Tale of the tape

Minnesota

Michigan vs Minnesota recent form

Michigan 3-2 Michigan: last 5 games

  1. L19-20 Sep 26 Iowa, 19-20
  2. W52-17 Sep 19 UTEP, 52-17
  3. W17-10 Sep 12 Oklahoma, 17-10
  4. W13-12 Sep 5 Western Michigan, 13-12
  5. L27-41 Dec 31, 2025 Texas, 27-41

Minnesota 4-1 Minnesota: last 5 games

  1. W27-24 Sep 26 Washington, 27-24
  2. W41-7 Sep 19 Akron, 41-7
  3. L13-38 Sep 12 Mississippi State, 13-38
  4. W59-7 Sep 3 Eastern Illinois, 59-7
  5. W20-17 Dec 26, 2025 New Mexico, 20-17
Points scored, last 5Michigan 128Minnesota 160
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterMichigan 100Minnesota 93

Michigan vs Minnesota head-to-head

Since Oct 7, 2023: Michigan 2, Minnesota 0

  1. Sep 28, 2024Michigan 27-24
  2. Oct 7, 2023Michigan 52-10

Michigan vs Minnesota line movement

MONEYLINE Michigan to win at FanDuel

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Minnesota)

+6.5

Total

41.5

Moneyline

Michigan
-250
Minnesota
+202

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (28 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Minnesota) at FanDuel: opened +270, now +202
  • Spread (Minnesota) at FanDuel: opened +8.5, now +6.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 43.5, now 41.5

Agatha's pick for Michigan vs Minnesota

Michigan. Agatha gave Michigan a 54% chance to win at Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: FOX

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