Navy vs Air Force Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYNavyAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEAir Force
AWAYNavyPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
0914vs
Predicted --
HOMEAir Force54%WIN CHANCELIVE READNavy to WinLOST#132 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Navy to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 54%
Final score: Air Force 14, Navy 9
- SEALED ODDS
- +130BetRivers
- CLOSING ODDS
- Same as sealedat the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 3:15 PM ETreceipt #132
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| Air Force | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
Leaders
- Liam Szarka (AFA): 6/11, 82 YDS, 2 INT
- Liam Szarka (AFA): 25 CAR, 81 YDS, 2 TD
- Jonah Dawson (AFA): 3 REC, 39 YDS
- Jackson Gutierrez (NAVY): 7/15, 140 YDS, 1 TD
- Michael Barrow (NAVY): 9 CAR, 44 YDS
- Truman Brasfield (NAVY): 1 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
NavyTale of the tape
Air ForceNavy vs Air Force recent form
Navy 3-2 Navy: last 5 games
- L20-24 Sep 25 UAB, 20-24
- L30-38 Sep 12 Florida Atlantic, 30-38
- W42-15 Sep 5 Towson, 42-15
- W35-13 Jan 2 Cincinnati, 35-13
- W17-16 Dec 13, 2025 Army, 17-16
Air Force 3-2 Air Force: last 5 games
- W36-33 Sep 26 Nevada, 36-33
- L32-38 Sep 12 North Dakota State, 32-38
- W34-0 Sep 5 Duquesne, 34-0
- W42-21 Nov 28, 2025 Colorado State, 42-21
- L3-20 Nov 22, 2025 New Mexico, 3-20
Points scored, last 5Navy 144Air Force 147
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterNavy 106Air Force 112
Navy vs Air Force head-to-head
Since Oct 21, 2023: Navy 2, Air Force 1
- Oct 4, 2025Navy 34-31
- Oct 5, 2024Navy 34-7
- Oct 21, 2023Air Force 17-6
Navy vs Air Force line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Air Force)
-3
Total
45.5
Moneyline
- Navy
- +120
- Air Force
- -140
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (41 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Air Force) at FanDuel: opened +104, now -150
- Spread (Air Force) at FanDuel: opened +1.5, now -2.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 51.5, now 45.5
Agatha's pick for Navy vs Air Force
Navy. Agatha gave Navy a 54% chance to win at Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: CBS