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North Texas vs Tulsa Prediction

Thursday, Oct 1, 2026, 9:00 PM ET, H. A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKNorth TexasAWAYNorth Texas

FINAL

4544

TulsaHOMETulsa
74%WIN CHANCENorth Texas to WinWON#29 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 74%

Agatha's pick: North Texas to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: North Texas 45, Tulsa 44

SEALED ODDS
-139Pinnacle
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.72uat the sealed price
GRADED
1:12 AM ETreceipt #29

Game Center

Team12345T
North Texas37217745
Tulsa017714644

Leaders

  • Baylor Hayes (TLSA): 25/43, 211 YDS, 3 TD
  • Damari Alston (TLSA): 23 CAR, 79 YDS, 1 TD
  • Oran Singleton Jr. (TLSA): 11 REC, 104 YDS
  • Tayven Jackson (UNT): 24/39, 332 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT
  • Jahiem White (UNT): 32 CAR, 219 YDS, 1 TD
  • Max Reese (UNT): 5 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD
North Texas

Tale of the tape

Tulsa

North Texas vs Tulsa recent form

North Texas 3-2 North Texas: last 5 games

  1. W63-14 Sep 26 Houston Christian, 63-14
  2. L35-49 Sep 19 Texas State, 35-49
  3. W44-6 Sep 12 UNLV, 44-6
  4. L16-52 Sep 5 Indiana, 16-52
  5. W49-47 Dec 27, 2025 San Diego State, 49-47

Tulsa 3-2 Tulsa: last 5 games

  1. L6-34 Sep 26 Arkansas, 6-34
  2. W42-0 Sep 19 East Texas A&M, 42-0
  3. W23-17 Sep 12 Sam Houston, 23-17
  4. W24-10 Sep 5 Oklahoma State, 24-10
  5. L24-31 Nov 29, 2025 UAB, 24-31
Points scored, last 5North Texas 207Tulsa 119
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterNorth Texas 168Tulsa 92

North Texas vs Tulsa head-to-head

Since Nov 18, 2023: North Texas 2, Tulsa 0

  1. Sep 28, 2024North Texas 52-20
  2. Nov 18, 2023North Texas 35-28

North Texas vs Tulsa line movement

MONEYLINE North Texas to win at Pinnacle

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Tulsa)

+3

Total

57.5

Moneyline

North Texas
-145
Tulsa
+120

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (50 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Tulsa) at FanDuel: opened -156, now +118
  • Spread (Tulsa) at FanDuel: opened -3.5, now +2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 56.5, now 56.5

Agatha's pick for North Texas vs Tulsa

North Texas. Agatha gave North Texas a 74% chance to win at H. A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 1.

TV: ESPN

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 9:00 PM ETNorth Texas vs UTSAAgatha's call: UTSA to win, 56%
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ETFlorida Atlantic vs TulsaAgatha's call: Tulsa to win, 55%
  3. Fri, Nov 13, 7:00 PM ETFlorida State vs PittsburghAgatha's call: Pittsburgh to win, 72%
  4. Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ETIllinois vs UCLAAgatha's call: UCLA to win, 76%
  5. Fri, Nov 13, 10:15 PM ETHouston vs ColoradoAgatha's call: Houston to win, 90%