AGATHANo gut feelings

Notre Dame vs North Carolina Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKNotre DameAWAYNotre Dame

FINAL

3726

North CarolinaHOMENorth Carolina
86%WIN CHANCENotre Dame to WinWON#127 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 86%

Agatha's pick: Notre Dame to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Notre Dame 37, North Carolina 26

SEALED ODDS
-1549Pinnacle
CLOSING ODDS
-1610Pinnacle, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.06uat the sealed price
GRADED
3:20 PM ETreceipt #127

Game Center

Team1234T
Notre Dame14761037
North Carolina776626

Leaders

  • Billy Edwards Jr. (UNC): 17/28, 208 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
  • Benjamin Hall (UNC): 10 CAR, 36 YDS
  • Jordan Shipp (UNC): 7 REC, 109 YDS
  • CJ Carr (ND): 21/29, 234 YDS, 4 TD
  • Jonaz Walton (ND): 23 CAR, 120 YDS
  • Jordan Faison (ND): 8 REC, 132 YDS, 2 TD
Notre Dame

Tale of the tape

North Carolina

Notre Dame vs North Carolina recent form

Notre Dame 5-0 Notre Dame: last 5 games

  1. W49-10 Sep 26 Purdue, 49-10
  2. W27-10 Sep 19 Michigan State, 27-10
  3. W52-0 Sep 12 Rice, 52-0
  4. W41-13 Sep 6 Wisconsin, 41-13
  5. W49-20 Nov 29, 2025 Stanford, 49-20

North Carolina 2-3 North Carolina: last 5 games

  1. L20-28 Sep 19 Clemson, 20-28
  2. W35-3 Sep 12 East Tennessee State, 35-3
  3. W15-10 Aug 29 TCU, 15-10
  4. L19-42 Nov 29, 2025 NC State, 19-42
  5. L25-32 Nov 22, 2025 Duke, 25-32
Points scored, last 5Notre Dame 218North Carolina 114
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterNotre Dame 53North Carolina 115

Notre Dame vs North Carolina line movement

MONEYLINE Notre Dame to win at Pinnacle

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (North Carolina)

+21.5

Total

46.5

Moneyline

Notre Dame
-5000
North Carolina
+1300

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (26 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (North Carolina) at FanDuel: opened +1000, now +1000
  • Spread (North Carolina) at FanDuel: opened +20.5, now +21.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 48.5, now 46.5

Agatha's pick for Notre Dame vs North Carolina

Notre Dame. Agatha gave Notre Dame an 86% chance to win at Kenan Stadium, Chapel Hill. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: ESPN, Disney+

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ETBoston College vs Notre Dame
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ETLouisville vs North CarolinaAgatha's call: Louisville to win, 73%
  3. LIVEBuffalo vs Ball StateAgatha's call: Buffalo to win, 69%
  4. LIVESacramento State vs Central MichiganAgatha's call: Central Michigan to win, 90%
  5. LIVEMassachusetts vs ToledoAgatha's call: Toledo to win, 93%