AGATHANo gut feelings

Ohio State vs Iowa Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKOhio StateAWAYOhio State

FINAL

3114

IowaHOMEIowa
52%WIN CHANCEOhio State to WinWON#153 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 52%

Agatha's pick: Ohio State to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Ohio State 31, Iowa 14

SEALED ODDS
-650BetOnline
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.15uat the sealed price
GRADED
6:52 PM ETreceipt #153

Game Center

Team1234T
Ohio State1077731
Iowa600814

Leaders

  • Hank Brown (IOWA): 12/27, 132 YDS, 1 INT
  • Kamari Moulton (IOWA): 11 CAR, 27 YDS
  • DJ Vonnahme (IOWA): 6 REC, 64 YDS
  • Julian Sayin (OSU): 20/27, 324 YDS, 3 TD
  • Ja'Kobi Jackson (OSU): 14 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
  • Jeremiah Smith (OSU): 11 REC, 206 YDS, 2 TD
Ohio State

Tale of the tape

Iowa

Ohio State vs Iowa recent form

Ohio State 3-2 Ohio State: last 5 games

  1. W42-19 Sep 26 Illinois, 42-19
  2. W59-3 Sep 19 Kent State, 59-3
  3. L23-24 Sep 12 Texas, 23-24
  4. W56-3 Sep 5 Ball State, 56-3
  5. L14-24 Dec 31, 2025 Miami, 14-24

Iowa 5-0 Iowa: last 5 games

  1. W20-19 Sep 26 Michigan, 20-19
  2. W55-0 Sep 19 Northern Iowa, 55-0
  3. W16-13 Sep 12 Iowa State, 16-13
  4. W40-0 Sep 5 Northern Illinois, 40-0
  5. W34-27 Dec 31, 2025 Vanderbilt, 34-27
Points scored, last 5Ohio State 194Iowa 165
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterOhio State 73Iowa 59

Ohio State vs Iowa head-to-head

Since Oct 5, 2024: Ohio State 1, Iowa 0

  1. Oct 5, 2024Ohio State 35-7

Ohio State vs Iowa line movement

MONEYLINE Ohio State to win at BetOnline

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Iowa)

+15

Total

47

Moneyline

Ohio State
-820
Iowa
+550

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (48 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Iowa) at FanDuel: opened +490, now +550
  • Spread (Iowa) at FanDuel: opened +14.5, now +14.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 42.5, now 46.5

Agatha's pick for Ohio State vs Iowa

Ohio State. Agatha gave Ohio State a 52% chance to win at Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: CBS

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 PM ETNorthwestern vs Ohio StateAgatha's call: Ohio State to win, 76%
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ETPurdue vs IowaAgatha's call: Iowa to win, 95%
  3. Wed, Nov 11, 7:30 PM ETBuffalo vs Ball StateAgatha's call: Buffalo to win, 69%
  4. Wed, Nov 11, 7:30 PM ETSacramento State vs Central MichiganAgatha's call: Central Michigan to win, 90%
  5. Wed, Nov 11, 7:30 PM ETMassachusetts vs ToledoAgatha's call: Toledo to win, 93%