AGATHANo gut feelings

Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt Prediction

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, FirstBank Stadium, Nashville, Week 6

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKOle MissAWAYOle Miss

FINAL

5217

VanderbiltHOMEVanderbilt3-2
56%WIN CHANCEOle Miss to WinWON#697 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 56%

Agatha's pick: Ole Miss to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Ole Miss 52, Vanderbilt 17

SEALED ODDS
-325BetMGM
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.31uat the sealed price
GRADED
7:16 PM ETreceipt #697

Game Center

Team1234T
Ole Miss142801052
Vanderbilt307717

Leaders

  • Jared Curtis (VAN): 19/32, 222 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • Makhilyn Young (VAN): 9 CAR, 37 YDS
  • Ja'Cory Thomas (VAN): 3 REC, 60 YDS, 1 TD
  • Trinidad Chambliss (MISS): 20/30, 213 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
  • Makhi Frazier (MISS): 13 CAR, 73 YDS
  • Deuce Alexander (MISS): 5 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
Ole Miss

Tale of the tape

Vanderbilt

Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt recent form

WHY

Ole Miss 3-2 Ole Miss: last 5 games

  1. L28-52 Sep 26 Florida, 28-52
  2. W32-24 Sep 19 LSU, 32-24
  3. W41-9 Sep 12 Charlotte, 41-9
  4. W41-38 Sep 6 Louisville, 41-38
  5. L27-31 Jan 8 Miami, 27-31

Vanderbilt 3-2 Vanderbilt: last 5 games

  1. L14-38 Oct 3 Georgia, 14-38
  2. L15-21 Sep 26 Auburn, 15-21
  3. W35-31 Sep 19 NC State, 35-31
  4. W35-26 Sep 12 Delaware, 35-26
  5. W28-9 Sep 5 Austin Peay, 28-9
Points scored, last 5Ole Miss 169Vanderbilt 127
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterOle Miss 154Vanderbilt 125

Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt head-to-head

WHY

Since Oct 28, 2023: Ole Miss 1, Vanderbilt 0

  1. Oct 28, 2023Ole Miss 33-7

Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt line movement

MONEYLINE Ole Miss to win at BetMGM

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Vanderbilt)

+8.5

Total

55

Moneyline

Ole Miss
-385
Vanderbilt
+290

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (44 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Vanderbilt) at FanDuel: opened +340, now +275
  • Spread (Vanderbilt) at FanDuel: opened +10.5, now +9.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 56.5, now 54.5

Agatha's pick for Ole Miss vs Vanderbilt

Ole Miss. Agatha gave Ole Miss a 56% chance to win at FirstBank Stadium, Nashville. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picked Ole Miss

The last meeting settles a lot here: Ole Miss won it 33-7 at home on Oct 28, 2023. Vanderbilt has lost two games in a row, and Ole Miss is 3-1 this season while Vanderbilt is 3-2. Ole Miss scores 35.5 points per game to Vanderbilt's 25.4. Agatha has Ole Miss winning 30-26, slightly better than even. The risk is Vanderbilt allowed fewer points per game, 25.0 to 30.8, and this game is at FirstBank Stadium, Vanderbilt's home ground.

TV: ESPN, Disney+

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 4:15 PM ETOle Miss vs OklahomaAgatha's call: Ole Miss to win, 58%
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 12:45 PM ETAlabama vs VanderbiltAgatha's call: Alabama to win, 88%
  3. LIVEBuffalo vs Ball StateAgatha's call: Buffalo to win, 69%
  4. LIVESacramento State vs Central MichiganAgatha's call: Central Michigan to win, 90%
  5. LIVEMassachusetts vs ToledoAgatha's call: Toledo to win, 93%