Penn State vs Northwestern Prediction
Friday, Oct 2, 2026, 8:00 PM ET, Ryan Field, Evanston, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYPenn StateAGATHA'S PICK
HOMENorthwestern
AWAYPenn StatePREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
1334vs
Predicted --
HOMENorthwestern59%WIN CHANCELIVE READPenn State to WinLOST#75 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Penn State to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 59%
Final score: Northwestern 34, Penn State 13
- SEALED ODDS
- -132BetOnline
- CLOSING ODDS
- -150BetOnline, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 11:42 PM ETreceipt #75
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penn State | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 13 |
| Northwestern | 10 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 34 |
Leaders
- Aidan Chiles (NU): 10/14, 93 YDS
- Caleb Komolafe (NU): 25 CAR, 188 YDS, 1 TD
- Griffin Wilde (NU): 2 REC, 36 YDS
- Rocco Becht (PSU): 26/41, 243 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
- Carson Hansen (PSU): 4 CAR, 19 YDS, 1 TD
- Chase Sowell (PSU): 5 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
Penn StateTale of the tape
NorthwesternPenn State vs Northwestern recent form
Penn State 4-1 Penn State: last 5 games
- L20-24 Sep 26 Wisconsin, 20-24
- W55-13 Sep 19 Buffalo, 55-13
- W27-9 Sep 12 Temple, 27-9
- W45-0 Sep 5 Marshall, 45-0
- W22-10 Dec 27, 2025 Clemson, 22-10
Northwestern 3-2 Northwestern: last 5 games
- L23-29 Sep 25 Indiana, 23-29
- W41-7 Sep 19 Colorado, 41-7
- W34-18 Sep 5 South Dakota State, 34-18
- W34-7 Dec 26, 2025 Central Michigan, 34-7
- L13-20 Nov 29, 2025 Illinois, 13-20
Points scored, last 5Penn State 169Northwestern 145
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterPenn State 56Northwestern 81
Penn State vs Northwestern head-to-head
Since Sep 30, 2023: Penn State 1, Northwestern 1
- Oct 11, 2025Northwestern 22-21
- Sep 30, 2023Penn State 41-13
Penn State vs Northwestern line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Northwestern)
+2.5
Total
47.5
Moneyline
- Penn State
- -148
- Northwestern
- +121
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (40 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Northwestern) at FanDuel: opened +184, now +116
- Spread (Northwestern) at FanDuel: opened +6.5, now +2.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 48.5, now 46.5
Agatha's pick for Penn State vs Northwestern
Penn State. Agatha gave Penn State a 59% chance to win at Ryan Field, Evanston. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 2.
TV: FOX