Purdue vs Illinois Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 4:15 PM ET, Gies Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYPurdueAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEIllinois
AWAYPurduePREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
2417vs
Predicted --
HOMEIllinois89%WIN CHANCELIVE READIllinois to WinLOST#166 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Illinois to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 89%
Final score: Purdue 24, Illinois 17
- SEALED ODDS
- -350BetMGM
- CLOSING ODDS
- -375BetMGM, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 7:30 PM ETreceipt #166
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Purdue | 3 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 24 |
| Illinois | 0 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 17 |
Leaders
- Katin Houser (ILL): 21/37, 225 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Aidan Laughery (ILL): 12 CAR, 49 YDS
- Collin Dixon (ILL): 10 REC, 116 YDS, 1 TD
- Ryan Browne (PUR): 18/27, 255 YDS, 1 TD
- Fame Ijeboi (PUR): 19 CAR, 65 YDS
- Asaad Waseem (PUR): 3 REC, 98 YDS
PurdueTale of the tape
IllinoisPurdue vs Illinois recent form
Purdue 1-4 Purdue: last 5 games
- L10-49 Sep 26 Notre Dame, 10-49
- L38-52 Sep 19 UCLA, 38-52
- L36-38 Sep 12 Wake Forest, 36-38
- W44-19 Sep 4 Indiana State, 44-19
- L3-56 Nov 28, 2025 Indiana, 3-56
Illinois 3-2 Illinois: last 5 games
- L19-42 Sep 26 Ohio State, 19-42
- W48-10 Sep 19 Southern Illinois, 48-10
- L27-31 Sep 12 Duke, 27-31
- W42-23 Sep 3 UAB, 42-23
- W30-28 Dec 30, 2025 Tennessee, 30-28
Points scored, last 5Purdue 131Illinois 166
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterPurdue 214Illinois 134
Purdue vs Illinois head-to-head
Since Sep 30, 2023: Illinois 2, Purdue 1
- Oct 4, 2025Illinois 43-27
- Oct 12, 2024Illinois 50-49
- Sep 30, 2023Purdue 44-19
Purdue vs Illinois line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Illinois)
-9.5
Total
62.5
Moneyline
- Purdue
- +280
- Illinois
- -360
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (40 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Illinois) at FanDuel: opened -365, now -360
- Spread (Illinois) at FanDuel: opened -9.5, now -9.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 58.5, now 62.5
Agatha's pick for Purdue vs Illinois
Illinois. Agatha gave Illinois an 89% chance to win at Gies Memorial Stadium, Champaign. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: BTN