Sam Houston vs Liberty Prediction
Thursday, Oct 8, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYSam HoustonAGATHA'S PICK
HOMELiberty4-1
AWAYSam HoustonPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
0335vs
Predicted --
HOMELiberty4-188%WIN CHANCELIVE READLiberty to WinWON#551 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Liberty to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 88%
Final score: Liberty 35, Sam Houston 3
- SEALED ODDS
- -549Betway
- CLOSING ODDS
- -500Betway, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.18uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 10:12 PM ETreceipt #551
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Liberty | 7 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 35 |
Leaders
- Deshawn Purdie (LIB): 10/14, 114 YDS, 1 TD
- Jaylon Coleman (LIB): 7 CAR, 92 YDS
- Makai Jackson (LIB): 3 REC, 46 YDS
- Landyn Locke (SHSU): 20/30, 138 YDS
- MJ Dowdy (SHSU): 11 CAR, 42 YDS
- Grady O'Neill (SHSU): 3 REC, 39 YDS
Sam HoustonTale of the tape
LibertySam Houston vs Liberty recent form
Sam Houston 1-4 Sam Houston: last 5 games
- L14-49 Sep 26 Texas Tech, 14-49
- W59-0 Sep 19 Nicholls, 59-0
- L17-23 Sep 12 Tulsa, 17-23
- L21-24 Sep 5 Troy, 21-24
- L16-56 Nov 29, 2025 Florida International, 16-56
Liberty 4-1 Liberty: last 5 games
- W30-14 Oct 2 Delaware, 30-14
- W34-17 Sep 24 Coastal Carolina, 34-17
- W51-15 Sep 19 Ball State, 51-15
- W24-23 Sep 12 Gardner-Webb, 24-23
- L13-20 Sep 5 James Madison, 13-20
Points scored, last 5Sam Houston 127Liberty 152
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterSam Houston 152Liberty 89
Sam Houston vs Liberty head-to-head
Since Oct 5, 2023: Sam Houston 1, Liberty 1
- Nov 29, 2024Sam Houston 20-18
- Oct 5, 2023Liberty 21-16
Sam Houston vs Liberty line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Liberty)
-13.5
Total
52.5
Moneyline
- Sam Houston
- +420
- Liberty
- -580
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (26 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Liberty) at FanDuel: opened -600, now -580
- Spread (Liberty) at FanDuel: opened -13.5, now -13.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 50.5, now 52.5
Agatha's pick for Sam Houston vs Liberty
Liberty. Agatha gave Liberty an 88% chance to win at Williams Stadium (VA), Lynchburg. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: ESPNU