AGATHANo gut feelings

Samford vs UAB Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, Protective Stadium, Birmingham, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

SamfordAWAYSamford

FINAL

1433

AGATHA'S PICKUABHOMEUAB
91%WIN CHANCEUAB to WinWON#147 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 91%

Agatha's pick: UAB to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: UAB 33, Samford 14

SEALED ODDS
-4500DraftKings
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.02uat the sealed price
GRADED
6:39 PM ETreceipt #147

Game Center

Team1234T
Samford770014
UAB10331733

Leaders

  • Ryder Burton (UAB): 8/18, 139 YDS, 1 TD
  • Rod Robinson II (UAB): 14 CAR, 75 YDS
  • CJ Smith (UAB): 2 REC, 85 YDS, 1 TD
  • Gabarri Johnson (SAM): 17/29, 140 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
  • Ken Cherry (SAM): 6 CAR, 34 YDS
  • Marquise Henderson (SAM): 5 REC, 57 YDS, 1 TD
Samford

Tale of the tape

UAB

Samford vs UAB recent form

Samford 1-4 Samford: last 5 games

  1. W45-7 Sep 26 VMI, 45-7
  2. L19-45 Sep 12 Tennessee Tech, 19-45
  3. L18-22 Sep 3 Southern Illinois, 18-22
  4. L10-22 Aug 29 North Alabama, 10-22
  5. L0-48 Nov 22, 2025 Texas A&M, 0-48

UAB 3-2 UAB: last 5 games

  1. W24-20 Sep 25 Navy, 24-20
  2. L14-21 Sep 19 Louisiana, 14-21
  3. W26-20 Sep 12 UL Monroe, 26-20
  4. L23-42 Sep 3 Illinois, 23-42
  5. W31-24 Nov 29, 2025 Tulsa, 31-24
Points scored, last 5Samford 92UAB 118
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterSamford 144UAB 127

Samford vs UAB line movement

MONEYLINE UAB to win at DraftKings

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (UAB)

-31

Total

54.5

Moneyline

Samford
+2800
UAB
-6000

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (11 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (UAB) at FanDuel: opened -10000, now -8000
  • Spread (UAB) at FanDuel: opened -30.5, now -30.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 50.5, now 54.5

Agatha's pick for Samford vs UAB

UAB. Agatha gave UAB a 91% chance to win at Protective Stadium, Birmingham. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: ESPN+

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