AGATHANo gut feelings

San Jose State vs Hawai'i Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

San Jose StateAWAYSan Jose State

FINAL

2016

AGATHA'S PICKHawai'iHOMEHawai'i
65%WIN CHANCEHawai'i to WinLOST#228 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 65%

Agatha's pick: Hawai'i to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: San Jose State 20, Hawai'i 16

SEALED ODDS
-130Bovada
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
3:15 AM ETreceipt #228
San Jose State

Tale of the tape

Hawai'i

San Jose State vs Hawai'i recent form

San Jose State 2-3 San Jose State: last 5 games

  1. L10-26 Sep 19 Fresno State, 10-26
  2. W30-20 Sep 12 Cal Poly, 30-20
  3. W27-21 Sep 4 Eastern Michigan, 27-21
  4. L26-42 Aug 29 USC, 26-42
  5. L14-41 Nov 29, 2025 Fresno State, 14-41

Hawai'i 2-3 Hawai'i: last 5 games

  1. L10-27 Sep 26 Wyoming, 10-27
  2. W29-19 Sep 12 New Mexico State, 29-19
  3. L6-21 Sep 5 UNLV, 6-21
  4. L27-37 Aug 29 Stanford, 27-37
  5. W35-31 Dec 24, 2025 California, 35-31
Points scored, last 5San Jose State 107Hawai'i 107
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterSan Jose State 150Hawai'i 135

San Jose State vs Hawai'i head-to-head

Since Oct 28, 2023: San Jose State 2, Hawai'i 0

  1. Nov 1, 2025San Jose State 45-38
  2. Oct 28, 2023San Jose State 35-0

San Jose State vs Hawai'i line movement

MONEYLINE Hawai'i to win at Bovada

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Hawai'i)

-2.5

Total

51.5

Moneyline

San Jose State
+114
Hawai'i
-135

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (30 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Hawai'i) at FanDuel: opened -166, now -140
  • Spread (Hawai'i) at FanDuel: opened -3.5, now -2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 57.5, now 51.5

Agatha's pick for San Jose State vs Hawai'i

Hawai'i. Agatha gave Hawai'i a 65% chance to win at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 3.

TV: MW+

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ETSan Jose State vs Air ForceAgatha's call: Air Force to win, 87%
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 11:00 PM ETNorth Dakota State vs Hawai'iAgatha's call: North Dakota State to win, 80%
  3. Fri, Nov 13, 7:00 PM ETFlorida State vs PittsburghAgatha's call: Pittsburgh to win, 72%
  4. Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ETIllinois vs UCLAAgatha's call: UCLA to win, 76%
  5. Fri, Nov 13, 10:15 PM ETHouston vs ColoradoAgatha's call: Houston to win, 90%