Southern Miss vs Troy Prediction
Tuesday, Oct 6, 2026, 8:00 PM ET, Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYSouthern MissAGATHA'S PICK
HOMETroy
AWAYSouthern MissPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
3455vs
Predicted --
HOMETroy78%WIN CHANCELIVE READTroy to WinWON#426 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Troy to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 78%
Final score: Troy 55, Southern Miss 34
- SEALED ODDS
- -330Betway
- CLOSING ODDS
- -350Betway, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.30uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 11:41 PM ETreceipt #426
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southern Miss | 0 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 34 |
| Troy | 17 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 55 |
Leaders
- Goose Crowder (TROY): 18/21, 225 YDS, 2 TD
- Goose Crowder (TROY): 17 CAR, 145 YDS, 2 TD
- Jordan Lovett (TROY): 2 REC, 53 YDS, 1 TD
- Landry Lyddy (USM): 24/37, 316 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Robert Briggs (USM): 2 CAR, 44 YDS, 1 TD
- Kaden Saunders (USM): 7 REC, 138 YDS
Southern MissTale of the tape
TroySouthern Miss vs Troy recent form
Southern Miss 1-4 Southern Miss: last 5 games
- L21-24 Sep 26 Tulane, 21-24
- L20-48 Sep 19 UConn, 20-48
- L8-43 Sep 12 Auburn, 8-43
- W49-3 Sep 5 Alcorn State, 49-3
- L16-27 Dec 23, 2025 Western Kentucky, 16-27
Troy 2-3 Troy: last 5 games
- L10-21 Sep 26 Utah State, 10-21
- L17-27 Sep 19 Missouri, 17-27
- W34-17 Sep 12 Alabama State, 34-17
- W24-21 Sep 5 Sam Houston, 24-21
- L13-17 Dec 16, 2025 Jacksonville State, 13-17
Points scored, last 5Southern Miss 114Troy 98
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterSouthern Miss 145Troy 103
Southern Miss vs Troy head-to-head
Since Nov 25, 2023: Troy 3, Southern Miss 0
- Nov 29, 2025Troy 28-18
- Nov 30, 2024Troy 52-20
- Nov 25, 2023Troy 35-17
Southern Miss vs Troy line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Troy)
-9.5
Total
51.5
Moneyline
- Southern Miss
- +290
- Troy
- -375
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (37 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Troy) at FanDuel: opened -365, now -375
- Spread (Troy) at FanDuel: opened -9.5, now -9.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 50.5, now 51.5
Agatha's pick for Southern Miss vs Troy
Troy. Agatha gave Troy a 78% chance to win at Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL), Troy. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: ESPN2