AGATHANo gut feelings

Tennessee vs Arkansas Prediction

Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 4:15 PM ET, Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, Week 6

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKTennesseeAWAYTennessee4-1

FINAL

2417

ArkansasHOMEArkansas2-3
78%WIN CHANCETennessee to WinWON#701 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 78%

Agatha's pick: Tennessee to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Tennessee 24, Arkansas 17

SEALED ODDS
-526Unibet
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.19uat the sealed price
GRADED
7:32 PM ETreceipt #701

Game Center

Team1234T
Tennessee0731424
Arkansas0014317

Leaders

  • KJ Jackson (ARK): 15/27, 155 YDS, 1 TD
  • Cam Settles (ARK): 8 CAR, 50 YDS
  • Chris Marshall (ARK): 7 REC, 56 YDS
  • George MacIntyre (TENN): 18/29, 247 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
  • DeSean Bishop (TENN): 19 CAR, 138 YDS, 1 TD
  • DaSaahn Brame (TENN): 3 REC, 87 YDS
Tennessee

Tale of the tape

Arkansas

This season

Points per gameWHYTennessee 36.8Arkansas 19.8
Points against per gamefewer is betterTennessee 15.2Arkansas 28.4

Tennessee vs Arkansas recent form

Tennessee 4-1 Tennessee: last 5 games

  1. W24-14 Oct 3 Auburn, 24-14
  2. L17-20 Sep 26 Texas, 17-20
  3. W42-9 Sep 19 Kennesaw State, 42-9
  4. W45-24 Sep 12 Georgia Tech, 45-24
  5. W56-9 Sep 5 Furman, 56-9

Arkansas 2-3 Arkansas: last 5 games

  1. L7-34 Oct 3 Texas A&M, 7-34
  2. W34-6 Sep 26 Tulsa, 34-6
  3. L17-45 Sep 19 Georgia, 17-45
  4. L10-43 Sep 12 Utah, 10-43
  5. W31-14 Sep 5 North Alabama, 31-14
Points scored, last 5Tennessee 184Arkansas 99
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterTennessee 76Arkansas 142

Tennessee vs Arkansas head-to-head

WHY

Since Oct 5, 2024: Tennessee 1, Arkansas 1

  1. Oct 11, 2025Tennessee 34-31
  2. Oct 5, 2024Arkansas 19-14

Tennessee vs Arkansas line movement

MONEYLINE Tennessee to win at Unibet

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Arkansas)

+13

Total

51.5

Moneyline

Tennessee
-630
Arkansas
+450

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (24 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Arkansas) at FanDuel: opened +460, now +450
  • Spread (Arkansas) at FanDuel: opened +14.5, now +13.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 54.5, now 51.5

Agatha's pick for Tennessee vs Arkansas

Tennessee. Agatha gave Tennessee a 78% chance to win at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picked Tennessee

Tennessee won the latest meeting, 34-31 at home on Oct 11, 2025. Tennessee beat Auburn 24-14 at home on Oct 3. Tennessee scored more points per game than Arkansas this season, 36.8 to 19.8. Tennessee is 4-1 this season, 3-1 at home and 1-0 on the road. Agatha has Tennessee winning 36-25, about a 4-in-5 chance. The risk: Arkansas beat Tulsa 34-6 at home on Sep 26.

TV: SEC Network

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 3:00 PM ETTennessee vs Texas A&MAgatha's call: Tennessee to win, 72%
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 7:45 PM ETSouth Carolina vs ArkansasAgatha's call: South Carolina to win, 80%
  3. LIVEBuffalo vs Ball StateAgatha's call: Buffalo to win, 69%
  4. LIVESacramento State vs Central MichiganAgatha's call: Central Michigan to win, 90%
  5. LIVEMassachusetts vs ToledoAgatha's call: Toledo to win, 93%