Texas State vs San Diego State Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 10:30 PM ET, Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYTexas StateAGATHA'S PICK
HOMESan Diego State
AWAYTexas StatePREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
2931vs
Predicted --
HOMESan Diego State62%WIN CHANCELIVE READTexas State to WinLOST#218 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Texas State to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 62%
Final score: San Diego State 31, Texas State 29
- SEALED ODDS
- -345FanDuel
- CLOSING ODDS
- Same as sealedat the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 2:17 AM ETreceipt #218
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas State | 10 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 29 |
| San Diego State | 3 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
Leaders
- Jayden Denegal (SDSU): 15/23, 109 YDS
- Josiah Lucas (SDSU): 21 CAR, 111 YDS, 2 TD
- Nathan Acevedo (SDSU): 4 REC, 47 YDS
- Brad Jackson (TXST): 27/43, 372 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
- Brad Jackson (TXST): 22 CAR, 80 YDS
- Beau Sparks (TXST): 10 REC, 153 YDS, 1 TD
Texas StateTale of the tape
San Diego StateTexas State vs San Diego State recent form
Texas State 3-2 Texas State: last 5 games
- W63-10 Sep 26 Incarnate Word, 63-10
- W49-35 Sep 19 North Texas, 49-35
- L26-31 Sep 12 UTSA, 26-31
- L7-59 Sep 5 Texas, 7-59
- W41-10 Jan 2 Rice, 41-10
San Diego State 1-4 San Diego State: last 5 games
- L16-41 Sep 26 Toledo, 16-41
- L13-26 Sep 19 James Madison, 13-26
- L10-28 Sep 12 UCLA, 10-28
- W53-20 Sep 5 Portland State, 53-20
- L47-49 Dec 27, 2025 North Texas, 47-49
Points scored, last 5Texas State 186San Diego State 139
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterTexas State 145San Diego State 164
Texas State vs San Diego State line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (San Diego State)
+10
Total
57.5
Moneyline
- Texas State
- -420
- San Diego State
- +310
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (46 snapshots)
- Moneyline (San Diego State) at FanDuel: opened +118, now +270
- Spread (San Diego State) at FanDuel: opened +2.5, now +9.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 60.5, now 57.5
Agatha's pick for Texas State vs San Diego State
Texas State. Agatha gave Texas State a 62% chance to win at Snapdragon Stadium, San Diego. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: CW