Texas vs Oklahoma Prediction
Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, Cotton Bowl, Dallas, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
TexasPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted --
OklahomaWin chance at the seal 68%
Final score: Oklahoma 27, Texas 24
- SEALED ODDS
- -323Betsson
- CLOSING ODDS
- Same as sealedat the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 7:33 PM ETreceipt #695
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas | 7 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 24 |
| Oklahoma | 0 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 27 |
Leaders
- John Mateer (OU): 18/26, 155 YDS
- Lloyd Avant (OU): 10 CAR, 72 YDS, 1 TD
- Isaiah Sategna III (OU): 5 REC, 64 YDS
- Arch Manning (TEX): 19/31, 260 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
- Derrek Cooper (TEX): 8 CAR, 41 YDS
- Cam Coleman (TEX): 5 REC, 110 YDS, 1 TD
TexasTale of the tape
OklahomaTexas vs Oklahoma recent form
WHYTexas 5-0 Texas: last 5 games
- W20-17 Sep 26 Tennessee, 20-17
- W30-6 Sep 19 UTSA, 30-6
- W24-23 Sep 12 Ohio State, 24-23
- W59-7 Sep 5 Texas State, 59-7
- W41-27 Dec 31, 2025 Michigan, 41-27
Oklahoma 2-3 Oklahoma: last 5 games
- L13-41 Sep 26 Georgia, 13-41
- W14-6 Sep 19 New Mexico, 14-6
- L10-17 Sep 12 Michigan, 10-17
- W51-0 Sep 4 UTEP, 51-0
- L24-34 Dec 19, 2025 Alabama, 24-34
Texas vs Oklahoma head-to-head
WHYSince Oct 7, 2023: Texas 2, Oklahoma 1
- Oct 11, 2025Texas 23-6
- Oct 12, 2024Texas 34-3
- Oct 7, 2023Oklahoma 34-30
Texas vs Oklahoma line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Oklahoma)
+7.5
Total
41.5
Moneyline
- Texas
- -350
- Oklahoma
- +275
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (50 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Oklahoma) at FanDuel: opened +340, now +275
- Spread (Oklahoma) at FanDuel: opened +10.5, now +8.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 42.5, now 41.5
Agatha's pick for Texas vs Oklahoma
Texas. Agatha gave Texas a 68% chance to win at Cotton Bowl, Dallas. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
Why Agatha picked Texas
Texas is 4-0 this season, and Oklahoma is 2-2. Texas won two of the three meetings since Oct 7, 2023, including the latest, 23-6 at home on Oct 11, 2025. Texas won 20-17 at Tennessee on Sep 26. Agatha predicts a 27-20 Texas win, about a 2-in-3 chance. The risk: Oklahoma beat New Mexico 14-6 at home on Sep 19.
TV: ABC