UCF vs Oklahoma State Prediction
Saturday, Oct 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, Week 6
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AWAYUCF3-2PREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
Predicted --
HOMEOklahoma StateWin chance at the seal 52%
Final score: Oklahoma State 42, UCF 28
- SEALED ODDS
- -385FanDuel
- CLOSING ODDS
- -400FanDuel, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.26uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 3:30 PM ETreceipt #674
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCF | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 28 |
| Oklahoma State | 7 | 14 | 3 | 18 | 42 |
Leaders
- Drew Mestemaker (OKST): 19/28, 304 YDS, 2 TD
- Caleb Hawkins (OKST): 23 CAR, 83 YDS
- Justin Bowick (OKST): 6 REC, 98 YDS, 1 TD
- Keyone Jenkins (UCF): 30/42, 265 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
- Duke Watson (UCF): 21 CAR, 79 YDS
- Josh Derry (UCF): 11 REC, 84 YDS, 1 TD
UCFTale of the tape
Oklahoma StateUCF vs Oklahoma State recent form
WHYUCF 3-2 UCF: last 5 games
- L17-27 Oct 3 Houston, 17-27
- W21-13 Sep 26 TCU, 21-13
- W44-30 Sep 19 Georgia State, 44-30
- L7-12 Sep 12 Pittsburgh, 7-12
- W73-6 Sep 3 Bethune-Cookman, 73-6
Oklahoma State 3-2 Oklahoma State: last 5 games
- W41-24 Sep 26 West Virginia, 41-24
- W59-0 Sep 19 Murray State, 59-0
- W39-31 Sep 12 Oregon, 39-31
- L10-24 Sep 5 Tulsa, 10-24
- L13-20 Nov 29, 2025 Iowa State, 13-20
UCF vs Oklahoma State head-to-head
WHYSince Nov 11, 2023: UCF 2, Oklahoma State 0
- Nov 22, 2025UCF 17-14
- Nov 11, 2023UCF 45-3
UCF vs Oklahoma State line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Oklahoma State)
-10.5
Total
53.5
Moneyline
- UCF
- +310
- Oklahoma State
- -400
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (30 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Oklahoma State) at FanDuel: opened -345, now -400
- Spread (Oklahoma State) at FanDuel: opened -9.5, now -10.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 51.5, now 53.5
Agatha's pick for UCF vs Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State. Agatha gave Oklahoma State a 52% chance to win at Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
Why Agatha picked Oklahoma State
The game is at Boone Pickens Stadium, Oklahoma State's home ground. Oklahoma State is 2-0 at home this season and UCF is 0-2 on the road. Oklahoma State has won three games in a row, scores 37.3 points a game, and beat Oregon 39-31 at home on Sep 12. Agatha's prediction is a 30-27 Oklahoma State win, about even. The risk is that UCF won the latest meeting 17-14 at home on Nov 22, 2025, and won both meetings since Nov 11, 2023.
TV: ESPN2