AGATHANo gut feelings

UL Monroe vs South Alabama Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

UL MonroeAWAYUL Monroe

FINAL

3552

AGATHA'S PICKSouth AlabamaHOMESouth Alabama
90%WIN CHANCESouth Alabama to WinWON#182 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 90%

Agatha's pick: South Alabama to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: South Alabama 52, UL Monroe 35

SEALED ODDS
-500Betway
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.20uat the sealed price
GRADED
10:28 PM ETreceipt #182

Game Center

Team1234T
UL Monroe7714735
South Alabama211014752

Leaders

  • Jared Hollins (USA): 14/19, 321 YDS, 3 TD
  • Trae'von Dunbar (USA): 12 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
  • Anthony Eager (USA): 4 REC, 168 YDS, 2 TD
  • Aidan Armenta (ULM): 25/41, 355 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
  • Zach Palmer-Smith (ULM): 8 CAR, 54 YDS, 1 TD
  • Marcellus Jackson (ULM): 5 REC, 93 YDS
UL Monroe

Tale of the tape

South Alabama

UL Monroe vs South Alabama recent form

UL Monroe 0-5 UL Monroe: last 5 games

  1. L17-45 Sep 26 Florida Atlantic, 17-45
  2. L35-38 Sep 19 SE Louisiana, 35-38
  3. L20-26 Sep 12 UAB, 20-26
  4. L13-62 Sep 5 Mississippi State, 13-62
  5. L27-30 Nov 29, 2025 Louisiana, 27-30

South Alabama 2-3 South Alabama: last 5 games

  1. L21-45 Sep 26 Kentucky, 21-45
  2. W41-36 Sep 19 Ohio, 41-36
  3. L24-28 Sep 12 Tulane, 24-28
  4. W39-14 Sep 5 SE Louisiana, 39-14
  5. L26-49 Nov 29, 2025 Texas State, 26-49
Points scored, last 5UL Monroe 112South Alabama 151
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterUL Monroe 201South Alabama 172

UL Monroe vs South Alabama head-to-head

Since Oct 7, 2023: South Alabama 3, UL Monroe 0

  1. Nov 15, 2025South Alabama 26-14
  2. Oct 26, 2024South Alabama 46-17
  3. Oct 7, 2023South Alabama 55-7

UL Monroe vs South Alabama line movement

MONEYLINE South Alabama to win at Betway

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (South Alabama)

-13.5

Total

57

Moneyline

UL Monroe
+400
South Alabama
-550

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (18 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (South Alabama) at FanDuel: opened -820, now -550
  • Spread (South Alabama) at FanDuel: opened -15.5, now -12.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 54.5, now 56.5

Agatha's pick for UL Monroe vs South Alabama

South Alabama. Agatha gave South Alabama a 90% chance to win at Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: ESPN+

Up next

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  2. Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ETTroy vs South AlabamaAgatha's call: South Alabama to win, 61%
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