Utah State vs Boise State Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 7:30 PM ET, Albertsons Stadium, Boise, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYUtah StateAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEBoise State
AWAYUtah StatePREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
1837vs
Predicted --
HOMEBoise State91%WIN CHANCELIVE READBoise State to WinWON#192 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Boise State to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 91%
Final score: Boise State 37, Utah State 18
- SEALED ODDS
- -1099Betway
- CLOSING ODDS
- Same as sealedat the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.09uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 10:52 PM ETreceipt #192
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 0 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 18 |
| Boise State | 14 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37 |
Leaders
- Maddux Madsen (BOIS): 17/21, 244 YDS, 2 TD
- Dylan Riley (BOIS): 18 CAR, 93 YDS, 2 TD
- Rasean Jones (BOIS): 5 REC, 88 YDS
- Grady Brosterhous (USU): 12/18, 129 YDS, 2 TD
- Javen Jacobs (USU): 10 CAR, 139 YDS
- Eli Wood (USU): 7 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
Utah StateTale of the tape
Boise StateUtah State vs Boise State recent form
Utah State 1-4 Utah State: last 5 games
- W21-10 Sep 26 Troy, 21-10
- L0-33 Sep 19 Utah, 0-33
- L14-16 Sep 12 Washington, 14-16
- L17-29 Sep 5 Idaho State, 17-29
- L21-34 Dec 22, 2025 Washington State, 21-34
Boise State 3-2 Boise State: last 5 games
- W32-7 Sep 26 Western Michigan, 32-7
- W38-24 Sep 19 South Dakota, 38-24
- W38-20 Sep 12 Memphis, 38-20
- L27-34 Sep 5 Oregon, 27-34
- L10-38 Dec 13, 2025 Washington, 10-38
Points scored, last 5Utah State 73Boise State 145
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterUtah State 122Boise State 123
Utah State vs Boise State head-to-head
Since Nov 18, 2023: Boise State 3, Utah State 0
- Nov 28, 2025Boise State 25-24
- Oct 5, 2024Boise State 62-30
- Nov 18, 2023Boise State 45-10
Utah State vs Boise State line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Boise State)
-19.5
Total
50.5
Moneyline
- Utah State
- +900
- Boise State
- -2500
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (19 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Boise State) at FanDuel: opened -2300, now -1700
- Spread (Boise State) at FanDuel: opened -20.5, now -19.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 52.5, now 51.5
Agatha's pick for Utah State vs Boise State
Boise State. Agatha gave Boise State a 91% chance to win at Albertsons Stadium, Boise. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: CBSSN