AGATHANo gut feelings

UTEP vs New Mexico Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 4:00 PM ET, University Stadium (NM), Albuquerque, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

UTEPAWAYUTEP

FINAL

0761

AGATHA'S PICKNew MexicoHOMENew Mexico
93%WIN CHANCENew Mexico to WinWON#162 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 93%

Agatha's pick: New Mexico to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: New Mexico 61, UTEP 7

SEALED ODDS
-1930Pinnacle
CLOSING ODDS
-1970Pinnacle, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.05uat the sealed price
GRADED
7:07 PM ETreceipt #162

Game Center

Team1234T
UTEP00077
New Mexico147162461

Leaders

  • Toa Fa'avae (UNM): 15/19, 249 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
  • Cameron Mathews (UNM): 6 CAR, 108 YDS, 1 TD
  • DJ Darling (UNM): 3 REC, 75 YDS
  • EJ Colson Jr. (UTEP): 6/12, 45 YDS, 1 INT
  • Raymond Moore III (UTEP): 11 CAR, 134 YDS, 1 TD
  • Kam Thomas (UTEP): 3 REC, 47 YDS
UTEP

Tale of the tape

New Mexico

UTEP vs New Mexico recent form

UTEP 1-4 UTEP: last 5 games

  1. L7-33 Sep 26 Oregon State, 7-33
  2. L17-52 Sep 19 Michigan, 17-52
  3. W51-10 Sep 12 Texas Southern, 51-10
  4. L0-51 Sep 4 Oklahoma, 0-51
  5. L31-61 Nov 29, 2025 Delaware, 31-61

New Mexico 3-2 New Mexico: last 5 games

  1. W42-18 Sep 26 New Mexico State, 42-18
  2. L6-14 Sep 19 Oklahoma, 6-14
  3. W70-7 Sep 12 Mercyhurst, 70-7
  4. W38-7 Sep 5 Central Michigan, 38-7
  5. L17-20 Dec 26, 2025 Minnesota, 17-20
Points scored, last 5UTEP 106New Mexico 173
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterUTEP 207New Mexico 66

UTEP vs New Mexico line movement

MONEYLINE New Mexico to win at Pinnacle

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (New Mexico)

-23.5

Total

47.5

Moneyline

UTEP
+1300
New Mexico
-2200

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (23 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (New Mexico) at FanDuel: opened -3000, now -4000
  • Spread (New Mexico) at FanDuel: opened -21.5, now -23.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 47.5, now 47.5

Agatha's pick for UTEP vs New Mexico

New Mexico. Agatha gave New Mexico a 93% chance to win at University Stadium (NM), Albuquerque. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: MW+

Up next

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  2. Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ETUNLV vs New MexicoAgatha's call: New Mexico to win, 82%
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