AGATHANo gut feelings

UTSA vs Rice Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, First Community Stadium, Houston, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKUTSAAWAYUTSA

FINAL

1614

RiceHOMERice
79%WIN CHANCEUTSA to WinWON#184 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 79%

Agatha's pick: UTSA to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: UTSA 16, Rice 14

SEALED ODDS
-450Betway
CLOSING ODDS
-500Betway, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.22uat the sealed price
GRADED
10:18 PM ETreceipt #184

Game Center

Team1234T
UTSA6100016
Rice700714

Leaders

  • Jacurri Brown (RICE): 6/14, 88 YDS
  • Jacurri Brown (RICE): 17 CAR, 96 YDS, 2 TD
  • Ben Grice (RICE): 1 REC, 40 YDS
  • Owen McCown (UTSA): 19/29, 148 YDS, 1 INT
  • Will Henderson III (UTSA): 18 CAR, 90 YDS, 1 TD
  • David Amador II (UTSA): 7 REC, 48 YDS
UTSA

Tale of the tape

Rice

UTSA vs Rice recent form

UTSA 4-1 UTSA: last 5 games

  1. W59-45 Sep 26 Colorado State, 59-45
  2. L6-30 Sep 19 Texas, 6-30
  3. W31-26 Sep 12 Texas State, 31-26
  4. W45-16 Sep 5 UT Rio Grande Valley, 45-16
  5. W57-20 Dec 26, 2025 Florida International, 57-20

Rice 1-4 Rice: last 5 games

  1. L24-38 Sep 26 Fresno State, 24-38
  2. L21-28 Sep 19 Western Michigan, 21-28
  3. L0-52 Sep 12 Notre Dame, 0-52
  4. W31-3 Sep 5 Houston Christian, 31-3
  5. L10-41 Jan 2 Texas State, 10-41
Points scored, last 5UTSA 198Rice 86
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterUTSA 137Rice 162

UTSA vs Rice head-to-head

Since Nov 11, 2023: UTSA 2, Rice 1

  1. Oct 11, 2025UTSA 61-13
  2. Oct 12, 2024Rice 29-27
  3. Nov 11, 2023UTSA 34-14

UTSA vs Rice line movement

MONEYLINE UTSA to win at Betway

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Rice)

+11.5

Total

56.5

Moneyline

UTSA
-490
Rice
+355

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (26 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Rice) at FanDuel: opened +340, now +400
  • Spread (Rice) at FanDuel: opened +10.5, now +11.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 52.5, now 56.5

Agatha's pick for UTSA vs Rice

UTSA. Agatha gave UTSA a 79% chance to win at First Community Stadium, Houston. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: ESPN+

Up next

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