Virginia vs Florida State Prediction
Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 3:30 PM ET, Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYVirginiaAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEFlorida State
AWAYVirginiaPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
0738vs
Predicted --
HOMEFlorida State66%WIN CHANCELIVE READVirginia to WinLOST#142 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Virginia to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 66%
Final score: Florida State 38, Virginia 7
- SEALED ODDS
- -102Pinnacle
- CLOSING ODDS
- Same as sealedat the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 7:00 PM ETreceipt #142
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Florida State | 0 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 38 |
Leaders
- Ashton Daniels (FSU): 12/19, 183 YDS, 1 INT
- Ashton Daniels (FSU): 17 CAR, 136 YDS, 5 TD
- Micahi Danzy (FSU): 4 REC, 70 YDS
- Beau Pribula (UVA): 14/32, 168 YDS, 1 TD
- Jekail Middlebrook (UVA): 10 CAR, 65 YDS
- Isaiah Robinson (UVA): 2 REC, 41 YDS
VirginiaTale of the tape
Florida StateVirginia vs Florida State recent form
Virginia 4-1 Virginia: last 5 games
- W42-3 Sep 26 Delaware, 42-3
- L27-38 Sep 19 West Virginia, 27-38
- W59-3 Sep 11 Norfolk State, 59-3
- W34-8 Aug 29 NC State, 34-8
- W13-7 Dec 27, 2025 Missouri, 13-7
Florida State 2-3 Florida State: last 5 games
- W34-7 Sep 26 Central Arkansas, 34-7
- L36-50 Sep 19 Alabama, 36-50
- L24-27 Sep 7 SMU, 24-27
- W34-17 Aug 29 New Mexico State, 34-17
- L21-40 Nov 29, 2025 Florida, 21-40
Points scored, last 5Virginia 175Florida State 149
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterVirginia 59Florida State 141
Virginia vs Florida State head-to-head
Since Sep 26, 2025: Virginia 1, Florida State 0
- Sep 26, 2025Virginia 46-38
Virginia vs Florida State line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (Florida State)
+1.5
Total
51.5
Moneyline
- Virginia
- -115
- Florida State
- -104
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (29 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Florida State) at FanDuel: opened -102, now -104
- Spread (Florida State) at FanDuel: opened +1.5, now +1.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 51.5, now 51.5
Agatha's pick for Virginia vs Florida State
Virginia. Agatha gave Virginia a 66% chance to win at Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 3.
TV: ESPN2