AGATHANo gut feelings

Western Michigan vs Buffalo Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 1:00 PM ET, Broadview Stadium, Buffalo, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKWestern MichiganAWAYWestern Michigan

FINAL

2017

BuffaloHOMEBuffalo
68%WIN CHANCEWestern Michigan to WinWON#136 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 68%

Agatha's pick: Western Michigan to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Western Michigan 20, Buffalo 17

SEALED ODDS
-500BetUS
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.20uat the sealed price
GRADED
4:07 PM ETreceipt #136

Game Center

Team1234T
Western Michigan7301020
Buffalo770317

Leaders

  • Jason Wright (BUFF): 11/18, 170 YDS, 1 TD
  • Messiah Burch (BUFF): 23 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
  • Chance Morrow (BUFF): 7 REC, 90 YDS
  • Broc Lowry (WMU): 19/24, 212 YDS
  • Jalen Buckley (WMU): 15 CAR, 62 YDS, 1 TD
  • Nate Levicki (WMU): 4 REC, 76 YDS
Western Michigan

Tale of the tape

Buffalo

Western Michigan vs Buffalo recent form

Western Michigan 3-2 Western Michigan: last 5 games

  1. L7-32 Sep 26 Boise State, 7-32
  2. W28-21 Sep 19 Rice, 28-21
  3. W49-14 Sep 12 Monmouth, 49-14
  4. L12-13 Sep 5 Michigan, 12-13
  5. W41-6 Dec 19, 2025 Kennesaw State, 41-6

Buffalo 2-3 Buffalo: last 5 games

  1. W31-28 Sep 26 Robert Morris, 31-28
  2. L13-55 Sep 19 Penn State, 13-55
  3. L20-33 Sep 12 Florida International, 20-33
  4. W21-17 Sep 3 UAlbany, 21-17
  5. L26-31 Nov 28, 2025 Ohio, 26-31
Points scored, last 5Western Michigan 137Buffalo 111
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterWestern Michigan 86Buffalo 164

Western Michigan vs Buffalo head-to-head

Since Oct 19, 2024: Western Michigan 1, Buffalo 0

  1. Oct 19, 2024Western Michigan 48-41

Western Michigan vs Buffalo line movement

MONEYLINE Western Michigan to win at BetUS

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Buffalo)

+13

Total

46

Moneyline

Western Michigan
-561
Buffalo
+395

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (26 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Buffalo) at FanDuel: opened +680, now +400
  • Spread (Buffalo) at FanDuel: opened +16.5, now +12.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 50.5, now 45.5

Agatha's pick for Western Michigan vs Buffalo

Western Michigan. Agatha gave Western Michigan a 68% chance to win at Broadview Stadium, Buffalo. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: ESPN+

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