AGATHANo gut feelings

Washington vs USC Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 7:30 PM ET, Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

WashingtonAWAYWashington

FINAL

2125

AGATHA'S PICKUSCHOMEUSC4-1
64%WIN CHANCEUSC to WinWON#195 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 64%

Agatha's pick: USC to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: USC 25, Washington 21

SEALED ODDS
-260Betway
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.38uat the sealed price
GRADED
11:09 PM ETreceipt #195

Game Center

Team1234T
Washington777021
USC3712325

Leaders

  • Jayden Maiava (USC): 21/34, 245 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • King Miller (USC): 18 CAR, 81 YDS
  • Zacharyus Williams (USC): 4 REC, 78 YDS
  • Demond Williams Jr. (WASH): 15/26, 198 YDS, 1 TD
  • Brian Bonner Jr. (WASH): 19 CAR, 89 YDS
  • Chris Lawson (WASH): 5 REC, 82 YDS
Washington

Tale of the tape

USC

Washington vs USC recent form

Washington 4-1 Washington: last 5 games

  1. L24-27 Sep 26 Minnesota, 24-27
  2. W48-16 Sep 19 Eastern Washington, 48-16
  3. W16-14 Sep 12 Utah State, 16-14
  4. W24-10 Sep 6 Washington State, 24-10
  5. W38-10 Dec 13, 2025 Boise State, 38-10

USC 4-1 USC: last 5 games

  1. L27-41 Sep 26 Oregon, 27-41
  2. W42-35 Sep 19 Rutgers, 42-35
  3. W49-30 Sep 12 Louisiana, 49-30
  4. W39-0 Sep 4 Fresno State, 39-0
  5. W42-26 Aug 29 San Jose State, 42-26
Points scored, last 5Washington 150USC 199
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterWashington 77USC 132

Washington vs USC head-to-head

Since Nov 4, 2023: Washington 2, USC 0

  1. Nov 2, 2024Washington 26-21
  2. Nov 4, 2023Washington 52-42

Washington vs USC line movement

MONEYLINE USC to win at Betway

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (USC)

-7

Total

57.5

Moneyline

Washington
+270
USC
-340

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (38 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (USC) at FanDuel: opened -315, now -295
  • Spread (USC) at FanDuel: opened -7.5, now -7.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 53.5, now 57.5

Agatha's pick for Washington vs USC

USC. Agatha gave USC a 64% chance to win at Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

TV: NBC

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 4:15 PM ETWashington vs Michigan StateAgatha's call: Washington to win, 73%
  2. Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ETUSC vs IndianaAgatha's call: Indiana to win, 76%
  3. LIVEBuffalo vs Ball StateAgatha's call: Buffalo to win, 69%
  4. LIVESacramento State vs Central MichiganAgatha's call: Central Michigan to win, 90%
  5. LIVEMassachusetts vs ToledoAgatha's call: Toledo to win, 93%