AGATHANo gut feelings

West Virginia vs Iowa State Prediction

Saturday, Oct 3, 2026, 12:00 PM ET, Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Week 5

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

West VirginiaAWAYWest Virginia

FINAL

4245

AGATHA'S PICKIowa StateHOMEIowa State
72%WIN CHANCEIowa State to WinWON#125 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 72%

Agatha's pick: Iowa State to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Iowa State 45, West Virginia 42

SEALED ODDS
-140Betway
CLOSING ODDS
-145Betway, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.71uat the sealed price
GRADED
3:31 PM ETreceipt #125

Game Center

Team1234T
West Virginia77141442
Iowa State71471745

Leaders

  • Jaylen Raynor (ISU): 19/27, 264 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
  • Aiden Flora (ISU): 22 CAR, 212 YDS, 3 TD
  • Cody Jackson (ISU): 6 REC, 160 YDS, 1 TD
  • Michael Hawkins Jr. (WVU): 11/23, 227 YDS, 2 TD
  • Michael Hawkins Jr. (WVU): 20 CAR, 149 YDS, 2 TD
  • DJ Epps (WVU): 4 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
West Virginia

Tale of the tape

Iowa State

West Virginia vs Iowa State recent form

West Virginia 3-2 West Virginia: last 5 games

  1. L24-41 Sep 26 Oklahoma State, 24-41
  2. W38-27 Sep 19 Virginia, 38-27
  3. W52-7 Sep 12 UT Martin, 52-7
  4. W31-24 Sep 5 Coastal Carolina, 31-24
  5. L0-49 Nov 29, 2025 Texas Tech, 0-49

Iowa State 3-2 Iowa State: last 5 games

  1. L17-31 Sep 26 Utah, 17-31
  2. W55-7 Sep 19 Bowling Green, 55-7
  3. L13-16 Sep 12 Iowa, 13-16
  4. W38-10 Sep 5 Southeast Missouri State, 38-10
  5. W20-13 Nov 29, 2025 Oklahoma State, 20-13
Points scored, last 5West Virginia 145Iowa State 143
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterWest Virginia 148Iowa State 77

West Virginia vs Iowa State head-to-head

Since Oct 12, 2024: Iowa State 1, West Virginia 0

  1. Oct 12, 2024Iowa State 28-16

West Virginia vs Iowa State line movement

MONEYLINE Iowa State to win at Betway

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (Iowa State)

-3

Total

53

Moneyline

West Virginia
+135
Iowa State
-172

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (30 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Iowa State) at FanDuel: opened -106, now -156
  • Spread (Iowa State) at FanDuel: opened +1.5, now -2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 52.5, now 52.5

Agatha's pick for West Virginia vs Iowa State

Iowa State. Agatha gave Iowa State a 72% chance to win at Jack Trice Stadium, Ames. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 3.

TV: TNT

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