Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State Prediction
Thursday, Oct 1, 2026, 8:00 PM ET, Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces, Week 5
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYWestern KentuckyAGATHA'S PICK
HOMENew Mexico State
AWAYWestern KentuckyPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
1334vs
Predicted --
HOMENew Mexico State64%WIN CHANCELIVE READWestern Kentucky to WinLOST#17 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Western Kentucky to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 64%
Final score: New Mexico State 34, Western Kentucky 13
- SEALED ODDS
- +107Unibet
- CLOSING ODDS
- +105Unibet, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 11:24 PM ETreceipt #17
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Kentucky | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 |
| New Mexico State | 6 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 34 |
Leaders
- Adam Damante (NMSU): 15/26, 146 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- James Jones (NMSU): 20 CAR, 155 YDS, 1 TD
- Josiah Thomas (NMSU): 4 REC, 60 YDS
- Rodney Tisdale Jr. (WKU): 29/40, 314 YDS, 1 INT
- Brock Glenn (WKU): 7 CAR, 23 YDS, 1 TD
- Jonathan Stafford Jr. (WKU): 10 REC, 108 YDS
Western KentuckyTale of the tape
New Mexico StateWestern Kentucky vs New Mexico State recent form
Western Kentucky 2-3 Western Kentucky: last 5 games
- W52-7 Sep 26 Mercyhurst, 52-7
- L0-38 Sep 19 Indiana, 0-38
- L20-70 Sep 12 Georgia, 20-70
- L14-49 Sep 5 Nevada, 14-49
- W27-16 Dec 23, 2025 Southern Miss, 27-16
New Mexico State 1-4 New Mexico State: last 5 games
- L18-42 Sep 26 New Mexico, 18-42
- L19-29 Sep 12 Hawai'i, 19-29
- W51-14 Sep 5 Mercyhurst, 51-14
- L17-34 Aug 29 Florida State, 17-34
- L24-31 Nov 29, 2025 Middle Tennessee, 24-31
Points scored, last 5Western Kentucky 113New Mexico State 129
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterWestern Kentucky 180New Mexico State 150
Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State head-to-head
Since Nov 11, 2023: Western Kentucky 2, New Mexico State 1
- Nov 1, 2025Western Kentucky 35-16
- Nov 9, 2024Western Kentucky 41-28
- Nov 11, 2023New Mexico State 38-29
Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (New Mexico State)
-2
Total
56.5
Moneyline
- Western Kentucky
- +110
- New Mexico State
- -130
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (41 snapshots)
- Moneyline (New Mexico State) at FanDuel: opened -110, now -126
- Spread (New Mexico State) at FanDuel: opened -1.5, now -2.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 52.5, now 55.5
Agatha's pick for Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State
Western Kentucky. Agatha gave Western Kentucky a 64% chance to win at Aggie Memorial Stadium, Las Cruces. It was one of Agatha's Best NCAAF Bets for Oct 1.
TV: CBSSN