AGATHANo gut feelings

Broncos vs 49ers Prediction

Sunday, Oct 4, 2026, 4:25 PM ET, Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, Week 4

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Denver BroncosAWAYDenverBroncos

FINAL

1424

AGATHA'S PICKSan Francisco 49ersHOMESan Francisco49ers
62%WIN CHANCE49ers to WinWON#288 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 62%

Agatha's pick: 49ers to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: 49ers 24, Broncos 14

SEALED ODDS
-152Unibet
CLOSING ODDS
-156Unibet, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.66uat the sealed price
GRADED
7:39 PM ETreceipt #288

Game Center

Team1234T
DEN3001114
SF0371424

Play-by-play

  • [4- 2:00] (Shotgun) B.Nix pass incomplete short right to E.Engram.
  • [4- 2:00] Two-Minute Warning
  • [4- 2:07] (Shotgun) B.Nix pass short left to T.Badie to DEN 49 for 7 yards (R.Green). ** Injury Update: SF-U.Stout has returned to the game.
  • [4- 2:07] Official Timeout at 02:07.
  • [4- 2:15] E.Pineiro kicks 60 yards from SF 35 to DEN 5. R.Harvey MUFFS catch, and recovers at DEN 5. R.Harvey to DEN 42 for 37 yards (L.Gifford). SF-M.Sigle was injured during the play.

Leaders

  • Brock Purdy (SF): 19/30, 218 YDS, 2 TD
  • Christian McCaffrey (SF): 15 CAR, 52 YDS, 1 TD
  • Mike Evans (SF): 5 REC, 76 YDS
  • Bo Nix (DEN): 25/42, 214 YDS, 1 TD
  • J.K. Dobbins (DEN): 11 CAR, 40 YDS
  • RJ Harvey (DEN): 10 REC, 68 YDS

Game-day injuries

  • Upton Stout (SF) - Questionable
  • Kyle Juszczyk (SF) - Out
  • Jordan James (SF) - Out
  • James Thompson Jr. (SF) - Out
  • Ephesians Prysock (SF) - Out
  • Pat Bryant (DEN) - Questionable
  • Riley Moss (DEN) - Out
  • Pat Surtain II (DEN) - Out
  • Dallen Bentley (DEN) - Out
  • Dondrea Tillman (DEN) - Out
DEN

Tale of the tape

SF

Broncos vs 49ers recent form

DEN 3-2 Broncos: last 5 games

  1. W30-26LAR Sep 27 Los Angeles Rams, 30-26
  2. W20-13JAX Sep 20 Jacksonville Jaguars, 20-13
  3. L10-31KC Sep 14 Kansas City Chiefs, 10-31
  4. L7-10NE Jan 25 New England Patriots, 7-10
  5. W33-30BUF Jan 17 Buffalo Bills, 33-30

SF 4-1 49ers: last 5 games

  1. W36-30ARI Sep 27 Arizona Cardinals, 36-30
  2. W35-13MIA Sep 20 Miami Dolphins, 35-13
  3. W27-7LAR Sep 10 Los Angeles Rams, 27-7
  4. L6-41SEA Jan 17 Seattle Seahawks, 6-41
  5. W23-19PHI Jan 11 Philadelphia Eagles, 23-19
Points scored, last 5DEN 100SF 127
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterDEN 110SF 110

Broncos vs 49ers line movement

MONEYLINE 49ers to win at Unibet

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (SF)

-3

Total

48.5

Moneyline

DEN
+142
SF
-165

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (18 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (SF) at FanDuel: opened -205, now -156
  • Spread (SF) at FanDuel: opened -3.5, now -2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 46.5, now 48.5

Agatha's pick for Broncos vs 49ers

The 49ers. Agatha gave San Francisco a 62% chance to win at Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara. It was one of Agatha's Best NFL Bets for Oct 4.

TV: CBS

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 22, 4:25 PM ETLas Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos
  2. Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 PM ETSan Francisco 49ers vs Dallas CowboysAgatha's call: San Francisco 49ers to win, 64%
  3. Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ETWashington Commanders vs New York GiantsAgatha's call: New York Giants to win, 63%
  4. Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 AM ETNew England Patriots vs Detroit LionsAgatha's call: Detroit Lions to win, 56%
  5. Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ETKansas City Chiefs vs Atlanta FalconsAgatha's call: Kansas City Chiefs to win, 65%