Every NFL game of the next eight days, with Agatha's call, her confidence and her predicted final score wherever her model covers it. The next eight days hold 14 NFL games.
Every game is a graded 1u call: Agatha backs the side more likely to win, with her confidence beside it. An EDGE comes from a validated model; a LEAN is her call on a game no validated model covers yet. Both are staked the same. Prop picks, where a game has them, ride inside its card.
Treylon Burks Under 2.5 receptions - -178 DraftKings - 61%1uWHY?
The under of 2.5 catches landed in 3 of Treylon Burks's last five games, and the numbers behind it read just as plainly. Burks caught 3, 4, 2, 1, 2 passes over those five games, 2.4 a game, and this season he has 12 catches on 22 targets in 6 games, 2 catches a game. The Giants allow 18.8 catches a game, against the league's 20.1. Agatha's prediction for Burks is about 2 receptions against a line of 2.5, and she gives the under close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is Burks went over 2.5 catches in 2 of his last five games.
Van Jefferson Under 1.5 receptions - -180 DraftKings - 60%1uWHY?
Van Jefferson has been quiet: he caught 5, 0, 0 passes over his last three games this season, 1.7 a game, and the under of 1.5 landed in 2 of them. He plays for the Washington Commanders, and the New York Giants allow 18.8 catches a game, against the league's 20.1. Agatha's pick is Van Jefferson under 1.5 receptions, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is Van Jefferson went over 1.5 catches in 1 of his last three games.
WHY?
The Giants have the better defense, allowing 21.5 points a game to 25.3 for the Commanders. The Giants are 5-2-1 this season and the Commanders are 2-5-1, and the Giants won 19-11 at the Philadelphia Eagles on Nov 8. Malik Nabers has 53 catches, 648 receiving yards and 2 receiving touchdowns in 8 games. Agatha predicts a 24-20 Giants win, about a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is the Commanders won four of the six meetings since Nov 19, 2023, and the latest was a 27-27 draw.
The Lions won 19-9 at the Miami Dolphins on Nov 8. The Lions have won four games in a row. Rhamondre Stevenson, a running back for the Patriots, is listed as Doubtful (injury: leg). Agatha has the Lions winning 25-23, a little better than a coin flip. The risk: the Patriots allowed fewer points per game than the Lions this season, 23.0 to 23.6.
The Buffalo Bills have owned this series, winning all five meetings since Nov 19, 2023, the latest 35-8 at home on Jan 4, 2026. Josh Allen has 2027 passing yards, 12 touchdown passes and 6 interceptions in 8 games, and James Cook adds 814 rushing yards and 8 rushing touchdowns in 8 games. The Bills are 7-1 this season. Agatha has the Bills winning 30-16, about a 5-in-6 chance. The risk is that Christian Benford of the Bills is listed questionable (arm).
The New Orleans Saints have won four of the five meetings since Dec 10, 2023, including the latest, 20-17 at home on Dec 14, 2025. Tyler Shough has thrown for 1986 passing yards with 14 touchdown passes and 6 interceptions in 8 games. Chris Olave caught 7 passes for 98 receiving yards in the Saints' last game on Nov 8 against the Cleveland Browns. Agatha has the Saints winning 25-23, a little better than a coin flip. The risk is the Panthers' offense, which scored 24.9 points a game to the Saints' 23.1, with Bryce Young throwing 16 touchdown passes.
The Chiefs won the last meeting between the teams, 22-17 on the road on Sep 22, 2024. They allowed fewer points per game than the Falcons this season, 17.9 to 24.8, and Patrick Mahomes has 2037 passing yards, 14 touchdown passes and 4 interceptions in 8 games. The Chiefs are 6-2 this season, and the Falcons are 3-6. Agatha predicts a 24-19 Chiefs win, about a 2-in-3 chance. The risk is that the Chiefs lost 28-24 at the Denver Broncos on Nov 1.
Deshaun Watson is listed as Out for the Browns, and the Texans score 26.1 points a game this season. C.J. Stroud threw for 384 yards and 5 touchdown passes in the Texans' 44-22 win at the Los Angeles Chargers on Nov 8. The Texans also won the latest meeting, 45-14 at home in a playoff game on Jan 13, 2024. Agatha has the Texans winning 23-20, about a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is the Browns allow fewer points a game than the Texans, 21.8 to 24.0.
The Packers won 45-27 at the New England Patriots on Nov 8. Kyler Murray, a quarterback for the Vikings, is listed as Doubtful (injury: leg). Agatha has the Packers winning 22-18, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk: the Vikings won four of the six meetings since Dec 31, 2023, including the latest, 39-22 at home on Sep 13, 2026.
The Jaguars won five of the six meetings since Nov 19, 2023, including the latest, 41-7 at home on Jan 4, 2026. The Jaguars won 33-10 at the Baltimore Ravens on Nov 5. Agatha predicts a 29-17 Jaguars win, about a 4-in-5 chance. The risk: Cam Ward had 1483 passing yards, 6 touchdown passes and 5 interceptions in 8 games for the Titans this season.
The Colts won both meetings since Oct 20, 2024, the latest 33-8 at home on Sep 7, 2025. The Dolphins have lost two games in a row. Daniel Jones had 1722 passing yards, 6 touchdown passes and 10 interceptions in 9 games for the Colts this season. Agatha predicts a 23-21 Colts win, a little better than a coin flip. The risk: the Colts have lost five games in a row.
The Seahawks allow 18.0 points a game this season, and the Raiders allow 29.8, so the defense decides this game. The Seahawks beat the Arizona Cardinals 17-3 at home on Nov 8. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 71 catches, 1036 receiving yards and 9 receiving touchdowns in 9 games, and Emanuel Wilson has 403 rushing yards and 3 rushing touchdowns in 7 games for the Seahawks. Agatha's prediction is a 28-20 Seahawks win, about a 3-in-4 chance. The risk is Sam Darnold, the Seahawks quarterback, is listed as Out with a leg injury.
The Los Angeles Rams defense decides this game: the Rams allow 20.1 points a game and the Cardinals allow 28.3. The Rams have won three games in a row. Matthew Stafford has 2374 passing yards, 16 touchdown passes and 9 interceptions in 9 games, and Kyren Williams has 593 rushing yards and 6 rushing touchdowns in 9 games. Agatha's prediction is a 27-19 Rams win, about a 7-in-10 chance. The risk is the Cardinals won the latest meeting, 18-16 on the road on Oct 18, 2026.
The 49ers allow 19.5 points a game this season, and that defense sets the tone. They beat the Las Vegas Raiders 38-17 at home on Nov 8. Brock Purdy had 17 touchdown passes and 5 interceptions in 8 games this season, and Christian McCaffrey had 9 rushing touchdowns in 8 games. Agatha has the 49ers winning 27-22, about a 2-in-3 chance. The risk is the Cowboys' offense, which won 27-23 at the Indianapolis Colts on Nov 8 behind Dak Prescott's 335 passing yards.
The Bengals beat the Atlanta Falcons 34-17 at a neutral site on Nov 8. The Bengals have won four games in a row. The Bengals scored more points per game than the Steelers this season, 30.0 to 22.5. Agatha predicts a 24-22 Bengals win, a little better than a coin flip. The risk: the Steelers won four of the six meetings since Dec 23, 2023, including the latest, 30-27 at home on Sep 27, 2026.
The Chargers are 0-8 and have lost eight games in a row. The Ravens won both meetings since Nov 26, 2023, the latest 30-23 on the road on Nov 25, 2024. The Ravens also score more, 21.0 points a game to 15.1, and Derrick Henry has 689 rushing yards and 8 rushing touchdowns in 9 games. Agatha predicts a 26-18 Ravens win, about a 7-in-10 chance. The risk is Lamar Jackson, a Ravens quarterback, is listed as Injured Reserve with an arm injury.
Every call is graded and counted in the record at 1u, edge and lean alike, so the record is a straight count at a flat stake.
2026 NFL season by week
Each week lists every game with its start time in Eastern, national TV where the listing names it and the final score.
