Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders1:00 PM ET1.26 at Unibet
Agatha projects SEA 27, WSH 17
ML 1.24 / 4.27spread +8total 40.5
In season
Every game is a graded 1u call: Agatha backs the side more likely to win, with her confidence beside it. An EDGE comes from a validated model; a LEAN is her call on a game no validated model covers yet. Both are staked the same. Prop picks, where a game has them, ride inside its card.
Sunday, September 2714 games
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders1:00 PM ET1.26 at Unibet
Agatha projects SEA 27, WSH 17
ML 1.24 / 4.27spread +8total 40.5
Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills1:00 PM ET1.31 at MyBookie
Agatha projects LAC 17, BUF 28
ML 3.80 / 1.28spread -7total 50
Receptions props
The model's number on Quentin Johnston is 2.9 catches; at a line of 3.5, that reads under. He has been catching about 3 balls a game.
Carolina Panthers @ Cleveland Browns1:00 PM ET2.20 at DraftKings
Agatha projects CAR 22, CLE 23
ML 1.74 / 2.14spread +1.5total 42
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions1:00 PM ET1.33 at Pinnacle
Agatha projects NYJ 19, DET 29
ML 3.57 / 1.32spread -6.5total 48.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins1:00 PM ET1.18 at Betway
Agatha projects KC 25, MIA 20
ML 1.19 / 5.00spread +9.5total 45
Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants1:00 PM ET1.79 at Pinnacle
Agatha projects TEN 19, NYG 24
ML 2.15 / 1.74spread -2.5total 37.5
Receptions props
Her read on Cam Skattebo is Under 2.5 receptions. That means a quieter night than the 2.8 receptions a game he has been running.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers1:00 PM ET1.60 at Pinnacle
Agatha projects CIN 22, PIT 21
ML 1.57 / 2.48spread +3total 42.5
Receptions props
Erick All projects to about 2.2 catches in Agatha's model, against a line of 0.5: she takes the over. His recent rate sits near 2.2 receptions a game. That is asking it of the Steelers, who allow only about 19 catches a game against a league average of 20.6.
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts1:00 PM ET1.84 at Pinnacle
Agatha projects HOU 25, IND 23
ML 1.80 / 2.05spread +1.5total 42.5
New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars1:00 PM ET1.68 at Pinnacle
Agatha projects NE 21, JAX 22
ML 2.25 / 1.63spread -2.5total 45.5
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers4:05 PM ET1.28 at Pinnacle
Agatha projects ARI 17, SF 29
ML 4.18 / 1.25spread -7.5total 48
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers4:05 PM ET1.91 at Pinnacle
Agatha projects MIN 23, TB 20
ML 1.86 / 1.98spread -0.5total 42.5
Receptions props
Agatha's NFL model makes it about 2.8 catches for Emeka Egbuka against a line of 4.5: the under is the call. Egbuka has been running about 3.2 catches a game. The Vikings allow just 16.5 catches a game against the league's 20.6.
Jordan Addison projects to about 2.3 catches in Agatha's model, against a line of 3.5: she takes the under. He has been catching about 2 balls a game. The counterweight: the Buccaneers allow about 22.7 catches a game, over the league's 20.6.
Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys4:25 PM ET1.58 at Pinnacle
Agatha projects BAL 27, DAL 22
ML 1.57 / 2.50spread +3.5total 53
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints4:25 PM ET1.57 at Pinnacle
Agatha projects LV 20, NO 24
ML 2.60 / 1.53spread -3.5total 43.5
Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos8:20 PM ET2.13 at Pinnacle
Agatha projects LAR 21, DEN 22
ML 1.85 / 2.01spread +1.5total 43.5
Monday, September 281 game
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears8:15 PM ET1.56 at FanDuel
Agatha projects PHI 23, CHI 22
ML 1.56 / 2.55spread +3.5total 42
Thursday, October 11 game
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns8:15 PM ET1.70 at BetRivers
Agatha projects PIT 21, CLE 20
ML 1.70 / 2.18spread +2.5total 37.5
Sunday, October 414 games
Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders9:30 AM ETno line posted yet
Agatha projects IND 25, WSH 24
ML 1.44 / 2.73spread +4total 46
New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills1:00 PM ETno line posted yet
Agatha projects NE 20, BUF 25
ML 2.87 / 1.41spread -5.5total 50
New York Jets @ Chicago Bears1:00 PM ET1.58 at Unibet
Agatha projects NYJ 19, CHI 27
ML 2.50 / 1.56spread -3.5total 43.5
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals1:00 PM ET1.67 at Betfred
Agatha projects JAX 23, CIN 24
ML 2.36 / 1.62spread -2.5total 50.5
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants1:00 PM ETno line posted yet
Agatha projects ARI 21, NYG 24
ML 2.11 / 1.70spread -2.5total 43.5
Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles1:00 PM ETno line posted yet
Agatha projects LAR 21, PHI 23
ML 1.69 / 2.22spread +2.5total 46.5
Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers1:00 PM ETno line posted yet
Agatha projects GB 22, TB 23
ML 1.85 / 1.93spread +1total 45.5
Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens1:00 PM ETno line posted yet
Agatha projects TEN 17, BAL 29
ML 5.30 / 1.15spread -10total 45
Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans1:00 PM ETno line posted yet
Agatha projects DAL 22, HOU 26
ML 2.24 / 1.63spread -3total 47.5
Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings4:05 PM ETno line posted yet
Agatha projects MIA 17, MIN 26
ML 6.00 / 1.14spread -10total 42.5
Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders4:25 PM ETno line posted yet
Agatha projects KC 23, LV 21
ML 1.39 / 3.10spread +5.5total 45.5
Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers4:25 PM ETno line posted yet
Agatha projects DEN 20, SF 24
ML 2.36 / 1.57spread -3total 45.5
Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks4:25 PM ETno line posted yet
Agatha projects LAC 15, SEA 27
ML 3.30 / 1.35spread -6.5total 43
Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers8:20 PM ETno line posted yet
Agatha projects DET 26, CAR 24
ML 1.66 / 2.18spread +2.5total 49.5
Every call is graded and counted in the record at 1u, edge and lean alike, so the record is a straight count at a flat stake.
| Player | Team | Status | Injury | Reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | Washington Commanders | Out | Arm | 31m ago |
| Keon Coleman | Buffalo Bills | Questionable | Leg | 1h ago |
| Caleb Williams | Chicago Bears | Out | Leg | 1h ago |
| Tyjae Spears | Tennessee Titans | Questionable | Leg | 1h ago |
| Anthony Johnson Jr. | Chicago Bears | Injured Reserve | Other | 1h ago |
| Puka Nacua | Los Angeles Rams | Doubtful | Leg | 1h ago |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | Pittsburgh Steelers | Questionable | Leg | 2h ago |
| Jaylen Warren | Pittsburgh Steelers | Questionable | Arm | 2h ago |
| Nico Collins | Houston Texans | Out | Leg | 2h ago |
| Brock Bowers | Las Vegas Raiders | Questionable | Leg | 2h ago |
| Zay Flowers | Baltimore Ravens | Questionable | Leg | 2h ago |
| Jalen Coker | Carolina Panthers | Questionable | Leg | 2h ago |
Players drop off when their latest report reads healthy; full histories will live on player pages.