Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction
Sunday, Oct 4, 2026, 4:25 PM ET, Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Week 4
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYKansas CityChiefsAGATHA'S PICK
HOMELas VegasRaiders
AWAYKansas CityChiefsPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
3027vs
Predicted --
HOMELas VegasRaiders58%WIN CHANCELIVE READChiefs to WinWON#287 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Chiefs to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 58%
Final score: Chiefs 30, Raiders 27
- SEALED ODDS
- -215Pinnacle
- CLOSING ODDS
- -233Pinnacle, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.47uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 7:47 PM ETreceipt #287
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | 7 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 30 |
| LV | 7 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 27 |
Play-by-play
- [4- 0:31] (Shotgun) K.Cousins pass incomplete deep middle to T.Tucker.
- [4- 0:36] (Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short right to A.Jeanty pushed ob at LV 28 for 12 yards (N.Williams).
- [4- 0:43] (Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short middle to C.White to LV 23 for 7 yards (N.Bolton).The Replay Official reviewed the pass completion ruling, and the play was REVERSED.(Shotgun) K.Cousins pass incomplete short middle to C.White (M.Delane).
- [4- 0:47] (Shotgun) K.Cousins pass incomplete short left to C.White [G.Karlaftis].
- [4- 0:48] (No Huddle) K.Cousins spiked the ball to stop the clock.
- [4- 1:05] (Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short left to M.Mayer to LV 16 for 11 yards (N.Bolton).
- [4- 1:05] (Shotgun) PENALTY on LV-C.Rogers, False Start, 4 yards, enforced at LV 9 - No Play.
- [4- 1:11] (Shotgun) K.Cousins pass incomplete deep right to T.Tucker (N.Williams).
- [4- 1:16] (Shotgun) K.Cousins pass short right to T.Tucker pushed ob at LV 9 for 8 yards (N.Williams).
Leaders
- Kirk Cousins (LV): 31/52, 365 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- Ashton Jeanty (LV): 15 CAR, 58 YDS
- Brock Bowers (LV): 6 REC, 86 YDS, 1 TD
- Patrick Mahomes (KC): 15/30, 225 YDS, 2 TD
- Kenneth Walker III (KC): 22 CAR, 177 YDS, 2 TD
- Tyquan Thornton (KC): 5 REC, 111 YDS, 2 TD
Game-day injuries
- Jalen Nailor (LV) - Questionable
- Trey Zuhn III (LV) - Questionable
- Jackson Powers-Johnson (LV) - Out
- Aidan O'Connell (LV) - Out
- Jonah Laulu (LV) - Out
- Tyquan Thornton (KC) - Out
- Rashee Rice (KC) - Questionable
- Jared Wiley (KC) - Out
- Garrett Nussmeier (KC) - Out
- Diego Pounds (KC) - Out
KCTale of the tape
LVChiefs vs Raiders recent form
KC 3-2 Chiefs: last 5 games
- W24-10MIA Sep 27 Miami Dolphins, 24-10
- W33-30IND Sep 20 Indianapolis Colts, 33-30
- W31-10DEN Sep 14 Denver Broncos, 31-10
- L12-14LV Jan 4 Las Vegas Raiders, 12-14
- L13-20DEN Dec 25, 2025 Denver Broncos, 13-20
LV 4-1 Raiders: last 5 games
- W35-27NO Sep 27 New Orleans Saints, 35-27
- W26-14LAC Sep 20 Los Angeles Chargers, 26-14
- W27-13MIA Sep 13 Miami Dolphins, 27-13
- W14-12KC Jan 4 Kansas City Chiefs, 14-12
- L10-34NYG Dec 28, 2025 New York Giants, 10-34
Points scored, last 5KC 113LV 112
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterKC 84LV 100
Chiefs vs Raiders head-to-head
Since Nov 26, 2023: Chiefs 4, Raiders 2
- Jan 4, 2026Raiders 14-12
- Oct 19, 2025Chiefs 31-0
- Nov 29, 2024Chiefs 19-17
- Oct 27, 2024Chiefs 27-20
- Dec 25, 2023Raiders 20-14
- Nov 26, 2023Chiefs 31-17
Chiefs vs Raiders line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (LV)
+5.5
Total
47.5
Moneyline
- KC
- -236
- LV
- +196
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (14 snapshots)
- Moneyline (LV) at FanDuel: opened +198, now +194
- Spread (LV) at FanDuel: opened +5.5, now +4.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 45.5, now 47.5
Agatha's pick for Chiefs vs Raiders
The Chiefs. Agatha gave Kansas City a 58% chance to win at Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas. It was one of Agatha's Best NFL Bets for Oct 4.
TV: CBS