Dolphins vs Vikings Prediction
Sunday, Oct 4, 2026, 4:05 PM ET, U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, Week 4
Agatha Research Desk, Updated
AGATHA'S PICK
AWAYMiamiDolphinsAGATHA'S PICK
HOMEMinnesotaVikings
AWAYMiamiDolphinsPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
1015vs
Predicted --
HOMEMinnesotaVikings79%WIN CHANCELIVE READVikings to WinWON#286 SEALEDSEALED ODDS -Agatha's pick: Vikings to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance at the seal 79%
Final score: Vikings 15, Dolphins 10
- SEALED ODDS
- -499Pinnacle
- CLOSING ODDS
- -502Pinnacle, at the start
- STAKE
- 1 unitflat, every pick
- RESULT
- WON +0.20uat the sealed price
- GRADED
- 7:04 PM ETreceipt #286
Game Center
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| MIN | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15 |
Play-by-play
- [4- 2:17] Timeout #1 by MIN at 02:17.
- [4- 2:17] PENALTY on MIN-J.Huber, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 15 - No Play.
- [4- 3:01] (Shotgun) K.Murray pass deep right to T.Hockenson to MIA 15 for 22 yards (J.Brooks).
- [4- 3:41] C.Tiernan reported in as eligible. D.Claiborne right end to MIA 37 for 8 yards (J.Brooks).
- [4- 3:41] C.Tiernan reported in as eligible. PENALTY on MIN-C.Tiernan, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at MIA 40 - No Play.
- [4- 4:22] (Shotgun) K.Murray pass short middle to J.Addison to MIA 40 for 27 yards (C.Johnson; J.Brents).
- [4- 5:02] (Shotgun) A.Jones right tackle to MIN 33 for no gain (J.Uche).
- [4- 5:41] (Shotgun) A.Jones left tackle to MIN 33 for 14 yards (J.Brents; D.Trader).
Leaders
- Kyler Murray (MIN): 27/37, 247 YDS
- Aaron Jones Sr. (MIN): 20 CAR, 94 YDS
- T.J. Hockenson (MIN): 13 REC, 119 YDS
- Malik Willis (MIA): 9/17, 85 YDS
- Ollie Gordon II (MIA): 9 CAR, 100 YDS, 1 TD
- Malik Washington (MIA): 5 REC, 67 YDS
Game-day injuries
- Christian Darrisaw (MIN) - Questionable
- Donovan Jackson (MIN) - Questionable
- Max Brosmer (MIN) - Out
- Jakobe Thomas (MIN) - Out
- Brett Thorson (MIN) - Out
- Reese Taylor (MIA) - Questionable
- Dante Trader Jr. (MIA) - Questionable
- Jackson Woodard (MIA) - Questionable
- Brady Cook (MIA) - Out
- Justin Joly (MIA) - Out
MIATale of the tape
MINDolphins vs Vikings recent form
MIA 1-4 Dolphins: last 5 games
- L10-24KC Sep 27 Kansas City Chiefs, 10-24
- L13-35SF Sep 20 San Francisco 49ers, 13-35
- L13-27LV Sep 13 Las Vegas Raiders, 13-27
- L10-38NE Jan 4 New England Patriots, 10-38
- W20-17TB Dec 28, 2025 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 20-17
MIN 5-0 Vikings: last 5 games
- W23-16TB Sep 27 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 23-16
- W9-3CHI Sep 20 Chicago Bears, 9-3
- W39-22GB Sep 13 Green Bay Packers, 39-22
- W16-3GB Jan 4 Green Bay Packers, 16-3
- W23-10DET Dec 25, 2025 Detroit Lions, 23-10
Points scored, last 5MIA 66MIN 110
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterMIA 141MIN 54
Dolphins vs Vikings line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (MIN)
-9.5
Total
38
Moneyline
- MIA
- +425
- MIN
- -550
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (13 snapshots)
- Moneyline (MIN) at FanDuel: opened -560, now -550
- Spread (MIN) at FanDuel: opened -10.5, now -9.5
- Total at FanDuel: opened 43.5, now 38.5
Agatha's pick for Dolphins vs Vikings
The Vikings. Agatha gave Minnesota a 79% chance to win at U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.
TV: FOX