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Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights Prediction

Thursday, Oct 8, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Toronto Maple LeafsAWAYTorontoMaple Leafs

FINAL

0340

AGATHA'S PICKVegas Golden KnightsHOMEVegasGolden Knights
61%WIN CHANCEGolden Knights to WinWON#565 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 61%

Agatha's pick: Golden Knights to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Golden Knights 4, Maple Leafs 3

SEALED ODDS
-160Hard Rock
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
WON +0.63uat the sealed price
GRADED
1:02 AM ETreceipt #565

Game Center

Team12345T
TOR300003
VGK120014

Play-by-play

  • [5- 0:00] Game End
  • [5- 0:00] End of SO
  • [5- 0:00] End of Shootout
  • [5- 0:00] John Tavares Wrist Shot saved by Adin Hill
  • [5- 0:00] Trevor Connelly Goal Backhand
  • [5- 0:00] Gavin McKenna Backhand Wide Left
  • [5- 0:00] Mitch Marner Backhand Wide Right
  • [5- 0:00] William Nylander Wrist Shot saved by Adin Hill
  • [5- 0:00] Shea Theodore Backhand Wide Left
  • [5- 0:00] Auston Matthews Backhand saved by Adin Hill
  • [5- 0:00] Jack Eichel Wrist Shot Wide Right
  • [5- 0:00] Kirill Marchenko Goal Wrist Shot

Leaders

  • Jack Eichel (VGK): 1
  • Jack Eichel (VGK): 1
  • Jack Eichel (VGK): 2
  • Nick Paul (TOR): 1
  • Chris Tanev (TOR): 1
  • Nick Paul (TOR): 1

Game-day injuries

  • Victor Olofsson (VGK) - Out
  • Lukas Cormier (VGK) - Injured Reserve
  • John Tavares (TOR) - Out
  • Oliver Ekman-Larsson (TOR) - Day-To-Day
  • Dakota Joshua (TOR) - Injured Reserve
  • Max Domi (TOR) - Injured Reserve
  • Cade Webber (TOR) - Injured Reserve
TOR

Tale of the tape

VGK

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights recent form

TOR 2-3 Maple Leafs: last 5 games

  1. W5-4NSH Oct 6 Nashville Predators, 5-4
  2. L2-3OTT Oct 3 Ottawa Senators, 2-3
  3. W2-1NYI Sep 30 New York Islanders, 2-1
  4. L2-3MTL Sep 29 Montreal Canadiens, 2-3
  5. L1-3OTT Apr 15 Ottawa Senators, 1-3

VGK 3-2 Golden Knights: last 5 games

  1. W6-2SEA Oct 6 Seattle Kraken, 6-2
  2. W3-2VAN Oct 4 Vancouver Canucks, 3-2
  3. L3-4ANA Oct 2 Anaheim Ducks, 3-4
  4. W5-2CHI Sep 29 Chicago Blackhawks, 5-2
  5. L0-3CAR Jun 14 Carolina Hurricanes, 0-3
Goals scored, last 5TOR 12VGK 17
Goals allowed, last 5fewer is betterTOR 14VGK 13

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights head-to-head

Since Feb 22, 2024: Golden Knights 4, Maple Leafs 2

  1. Jan 23, 2026Golden Knights 6-3
  2. Jan 15, 2026Golden Knights 6-5
  3. Mar 5, 2025Golden Knights 5-2
  4. Nov 20, 2024Maple Leafs 3-0
  5. Feb 27, 2024Golden Knights 6-2
  6. Feb 22, 2024Maple Leafs 7-3

Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights line movement

MONEYLINE Golden Knights to win at Hard Rock

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (VGK)

-1.5

Total

6.5

Moneyline

TOR
+150
VGK
-175

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (15 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (VGK) at FanDuel: opened -166, now -164
  • Spread (VGK) at FanDuel: opened -1.5, now -1.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 6.5, now 6.5

Agatha's pick for Maple Leafs vs Golden Knights

The Golden Knights. Agatha gave Vegas a 61% chance to win at T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas. It was one of Agatha's Best NHL Bets for Oct 8.

TV: ESPN+

Up next

  1. Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ETEdmonton Oilers vs Toronto Maple LeafsAgatha's call: Edmonton Oilers to win, 56%
  2. Fri, Nov 13, 10:00 PM ETNashville Predators vs Vegas Golden KnightsAgatha's call: Vegas Golden Knights to win, 60%
  3. Fri, Nov 13, 9:00 PM ETNew York Rangers vs Vancouver CanucksAgatha's call: New York Rangers to win, 59%
  4. Sat, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ETSeattle Kraken vs Carolina HurricanesAgatha's call: Carolina Hurricanes to win, 66%
  5. Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ETWinnipeg Jets vs Chicago BlackhawksAgatha's call: Winnipeg Jets to win, 56%