AGATHANo gut feelings

Cerminara vs Stiller Prediction

Saturday, Oct 17, 2026, 5:00 PM ET

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Cerminara to Win

57%WIN CHANCE

MATCHUP

CerminaraCerminara
vs
StillerStiller

Predicted -

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS4:45 PM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-250RollbitBET

Where to bet it

Cerminara to win: best odds

FIGHTbest price first - 1 book

  1. Rollbit-250-250

Who will win Cerminara vs Stiller?

Katlyn Cerminara. Agatha gives Cerminara a 57% chance to win. It is Agatha's prediction for this fight, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Cerminara

Agatha rates Katlyn Cerminara 1609; Mackenzie Stiller has no UFC record in her database and enters at the 1500.0 baseline every debut starts from. Katlyn Cerminara is 37: the model takes 35 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade. Katlyn Cerminara has not fought in 31 months: ring rust costs 24 rating points in the model. Net gap after those adjustments: 50 rating points toward Katlyn Cerminara, which converts to 57-43. No market line matched; this is Agatha's model alone. Mackenzie Stiller is new to Agatha's data (no rating yet).

Cerminara vs Stiller tale of the tape

  • Katlyn Cerminara

    Pro record
    18-6-0W-L-D
    UFC record
    11-617 UFC fights
    UFC wins by
    0-0-11KO - SUB - DEC
  • Mackenzie Stiller

    Pro record
    6-1-0W-L-D
    Division
    Women's Flyweight125 lb

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Katlyn Cerminara
-256
Mackenzie Stiller
+190