Diaz vs Alatengheili Prediction
Saturday, Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 PM ET
AGATHA'S PICK
JuanDiazAGATHA'S PICK
Alatengheili
JuanDiazPREDICTED SCOREPREDICTED SETSMATCHUPLIVEDELAYEDFINALPOSTPONEDLIVE
0000vs
Predicted --
Alatengheili51%WIN CHANCELIVE READAlatengheili to Win#SEALS AT 4:45 PM ETAgatha's pick: Alatengheili to WinTHE VERDICT
Win chance can move until the seal
DiazTale of the tape
AlatengheiliDiaz vs Alatengheili recent form
Alatengheili Alatengheili: last fight
- WSep 26 Sep 26 John Castaneda, Decision, R3
Diaz vs Alatengheili tale of the tape
WHYPro recordDiaz 16-1-1W-L-DAlatengheili 18-10-2W-L-D
UFC recordDiaz 1-01 UFC fightsAlatengheili 6-3-110 UFC fights
UFC wins byDiaz 0-1-0KO - SUB - DECAlatengheili 1-0-5KO - SUB - DEC
Diaz vs Alatengheili line movement
Market (latest pregame line)
Total
2.5
Moneyline
- Juan Diaz
- -400
- Alatengheili
- +315
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (3 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Juan Diaz) at FanDuel: opened -370, now -370
- Total at DraftKings: opened 2.5, now 2.5
Who will win Diaz vs Alatengheili?
Alatengheili. Agatha gives Alatengheili a 51% chance to win. It is Agatha's prediction for this fight, sealed and graded like every pick.
Why Agatha picks Alatengheili
Agatha rates Juan Diaz 1546 and Alatengheili 1570, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database. Alatengheili is 34: the model takes 18 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade. Net gap after those adjustments: 6 rating points toward Alatengheili, which converts to 51-49.