AGATHANo gut feelings

Lucindo vs Caliari Prediction

Saturday, Oct 24, 2026, 10:00 AM ET

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1U

Lucindo to Win

67%WIN CHANCE

MATCHUP

LucindoLucindo
vs
CaliariCaliari

Predicted -

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS9:45 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST-350Hard RockBET

Where to bet it

Lucindo to win: best odds

FIGHTbest price first - best 6 of 15 books

  1. Hard Rock-350-350
  2. Unibet-357-357
  3. LiveScore Bet-357-357
  4. Bovada-360-360
  5. BetRivers-360-360
  6. Pinnacle-370-370

Fight at Hard Rock: opened -350, now -350

Who will win Lucindo vs Caliari?

Iasmin Lucindo. Agatha gives Lucindo a 67% chance to win. It is Agatha's prediction for this fight, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Lucindo

Agatha rates Iasmin Lucindo 1602 and Nicolle Caliari 1472, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database. Iasmin Lucindo has not fought in 14 months: ring rust costs 3 rating points in the model. Net gap after those adjustments: 126 rating points toward Iasmin Lucindo, which converts to 67-33.

Lucindo vs Caliari tale of the tape

  • Iasmin Lucindo

    Pro record
    18-6-0W-L-D
    UFC record
    5-27 UFC fights
    UFC wins by
    0-1-4KO - SUB - DEC
  • Nicolle Caliari

    Pro record
    9-4-0W-L-D
    UFC record
    1-23 UFC fights
    UFC wins by
    0-1-0KO - SUB - DEC

Market (latest pregame line)

Total

2.5

Moneyline

Iasmin Lucindo
-375
Nicolle Caliari
+300

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (3 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (Iasmin Lucindo) at FanDuel: opened -400, now -400
  • Total at Bovada: opened 2.5, now 2.5