Court McGee vs Eric Nolan Prediction
Agatha's call
Court McGee to win54%
DOGPrice 3.10 at Betsson
Why
Agatha rates Court McGee 1516 and Eric Nolan 1423, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database.
Court McGee is 41: the model takes 59 rating points off for age past 32, where fighters historically fade.
Court McGee has not fought in 16 months: ring rust costs 5 rating points in the model.
Net gap after those adjustments: 29 rating points toward Court McGee, which converts to 54-46.
The market disagrees: it favors Eric Nolan at 69% across 1 book.
Market (latest pregame line)
Total
2.5
Moneyline
- Court McGee
- 3.05
- Draw
- 33.00
- Eric Nolan
- 1.40
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)
- Moneyline (home): opened 3.07, now 3.07
- Moneyline (home): opened 3.05, now 3.05