AGATHANo gut feelings

Steele vs Gugnon Prediction

Saturday, Oct 24, 2026, 10:00 AM ET

Agatha Research Desk

PREDICTION

AGATHA'S PICKPRED1UDOG

Gugnon to Win

52%WIN CHANCE

MATCHUP

SteeleSteele
vs
GugnonGugnon

Predicted -

Win chance can move until the seal

SEALS ATSEALS9:45 AM ET
BEST ODDSBEST+145LadbrokesBET

Where to bet it

Gugnon to win: best odds

FIGHTbest price first - best 6 of 16 books

  1. Ladbrokes+145+145
  2. BetMGM+145+145
  3. BetOnline+135+135
  4. Bovada+135+135
  5. FanDuel+134+134
  6. Pinnacle+134+134

Fight at Ladbrokes: opened +145, now +145

Who will win Steele vs Gugnon?

Noah Gugnon. Agatha gives Gugnon a 52% chance to win. It is Agatha's prediction for this fight, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Gugnon

Agatha rates Kody Steele 1522 and Noah Gugnon 1534, built fight by fight from every UFC bout in her database. Net gap after those adjustments: 12 rating points toward Noah Gugnon, which converts to 52-48.

Steele vs Gugnon tale of the tape

  • Kody Steele

    Pro record
    8-1-0W-L-D
    UFC record
    1-12 UFC fights
    UFC wins by
    0-1-0KO - SUB - DEC
  • Noah Gugnon

    Pro record
    10-2-0W-L-D
    UFC record
    1-01 UFC fights
    UFC wins by
    0-1-0KO - SUB - DEC

Market (latest pregame line)

Total

1.5

Moneyline

Kody Steele
-162
Noah Gugnon
+130

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Kody Steele) at FanDuel: opened -172, now -172
  • Total at DraftKings: opened 2.5, now 2.5