Las Vegas Aces vs Indiana Fever Prediction
Agatha's call
Indiana Fever to win55%
Price 1.87 at DraftKings
Projected final: Las Vegas Aces 91, Indiana Fever 92
Why
The WNBA lane likes the Indiana Fever here: 55% against an implied 51% at DraftKings, a 4-point gap on her blind-validated model. The Fever come in 5-5 across their last ten; the Aces arrive 8-2.
Market (latest pregame line)
Spread (IND)
-1.5
Total
183.5
Moneyline
- LV
- 1.95
- IND
- 1.87
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (7 snapshots)
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.91, now 1.87
- Moneyline (home): opened 1.83, now 1.87
Trends
Trends describe the past. They are not predictions and carry no edge - Agatha's pick is made independently.
Las Vegas Aces
- The over has hit in 29 of the last 50 Aces games with a closing total (+5.3u flat).
- The Aces are 8-2 over their last 10 games.Agatha's pick disagrees with this trend
- The Aces are 5-5 over their last 10 on the road.
- The Aces have won 8 straight.Agatha's pick disagrees with this trend
Indiana Fever
- The over has hit in 29 of the last 50 Fever games with a closing total (+5.3u flat).
- The Fever are 23-9 as favorites this season, their role tonight (-0.6u flat at closing prices).
- The Fever are 5-5 over their last 10 games.
- The Fever are 8-2 over their last 10 at home.
Season series: the Fever lead 2-1.
Priced trends settle against Agatha's own closing-line archive (tracked since May 2023) at flat 1u stakes.