Mertens vs Ostapenko Prediction
Monday, Oct 5, 2026, Time TBA, Round 3
Agatha's call
Why
Agatha rates Jelena Ostapenko 1789 and Elise Mertens 1838 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007. Net gap: 49 rating points toward Elise Mertens, for a predicted 58 percent match win. Most-likely scoreline: Elise Mertens in 2-0, about 53 percent of that player's winning outcomes.
Market (latest pregame line)
Moneyline
- Elise Mertens
- -159
- Jelena Ostapenko
- +128
Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (2 snapshots)
- Moneyline (Jelena Ostapenko) at Fanatics: opened +130, now +125


