AgathaRecord
AGATHANo gut feelings
JOIN

Tubello vs Maria Prediction

Wednesday, Nov 11, 2026, 10:00 AM ET, Round 2

Agatha Research Desk

AliceTubello

PREDICTED SETS

0-2

AGATHA'S PICKTatjana MariaTatjanaMaria
58%WIN CHANCEMaria to WinSEALS AT 9:45 AM ET

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Maria to WinTHE VERDICT
Tubello

Tale of the tape

Maria

Tubello vs Maria recent form

WHY

Tubello 4-1 Tubello: last 5 matches

  1. WNov 10 Nov 10 Julia Riera, 7-6(7), 6-2
  2. LNov 7 Nov 7 Bianca Andreescu, 0-6, 4-6
  3. WNov 5 Nov 5 Leolia Jeanjean, 6-3, 6-2
  4. WNov 4 Nov 4 Marina Bassols Ribera, 6-1, 6-1
  5. WNov 3 Nov 3 Rebeka Masarova, 6-3, 6-0

Maria 4-1 Maria: last 5 matches

  1. WNov 9 Nov 9 Luisina Giovannini, 4-6, 7-5, 7-5
  2. LNov 1 Nov 1 Bianca Andreescu, 1-6, 6-2, 3-6
  3. WOct 31 Oct 31 Fiona Ferro, 7-5, 3-6, 6-1
  4. WOct 30 Oct 30 Valeriya Strakhova, 7-6(2), 6-3
  5. WOct 29 Oct 29 Martina Colmegna, 6-1, 7-6(5)

Tubello vs Maria player stats

WHY
Alice TubelloTatjana Maria
WTA rankinglower is betterTubello No. 146518 ptsMaria No. 68996 pts
2026 recordTubello 9-21 titleMaria 23-26
TitlesTubello 11 finalMaria 4career, Wikipedia

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Alice Tubello
-110
Tatjana Maria
-125

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (Tatjana Maria) at William Hill: opened -125, now -125

Who will win Tubello vs Maria?

Tatjana Maria. Agatha gives Maria a 58% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Maria

Tatjana Maria is 4-1 over her last five matches and 6-4 over her last 10, and she beat Luisina Giovannini 4-6, 7-5, 7-5 in Round 1 of the DIRECTV Open Presentado por Compesar on Nov 9. She also beat Fiona Ferro 7-5, 3-6, 6-1 in the semifinal of the Queretaro Open on Oct 31. Maria is ranked No. 68 and Tubello No. 146. Agatha gives Maria about a 6-in-10 chance to win and predicts straight sets. The risk is Tubello, who is 9-1 over her last 10 matches and beat Julia Riera 7-6, 6-2 in Round 1 on Nov 10.