AGATHANo gut feelings

MLB Bullpen Red Flags

Tired Arms Alert: TOR Lead the 3-Day Bullpen Usage Board

Published

Bullpens do not announce when they are tired; the box scores announce it for them. Counted straight from the last three days of pitching lines, every arm after the starter, this is who has been leaning hardest on the pen.

Running on fumes

No pen has worked harder than TOR: 14 reliever outings across three games, 4.7 a night. Tired arms give up runs, and they usually give them up in the innings that decide things.

WSH have been nearly as busy: 11 appearances across 3 games.

SF (11 outings in 3 games) are not far off that pace either.

The rested arms

BOS have barely touched the phone: one reliever outings over one games, leaving the whole late-inning menu available.

PHI are in similar shape, with just 3 relief outings across 1 games.

The spread between the busiest pen and the freshest one is 13 appearances over the same window, that is the difference between a full late-inning menu and a manager crossing his fingers at the mound.

By the numbers

The workload table, straight from the pitching lines:

TeamRelief outingsGames
TOR143
WSH113
SF113
MIN93
PIT92

The fine print

A quick note on the counting: every pitcher after the starter in each captured box score registers as one appearance, so a one-out specialist and a two-inning bulk arm weigh the same. Imperfect, but honest, and consistent across every team.

Heavy recent usage does not doom a team tonight, but it narrows a manager's good options in innings seven through nine, and narrow options are where leads go to wobble.

One to circle: Toronto Blue Jays meet Baltimore Orioles in their next game, and we will find out quickly whether this stretch travels.

More MLB on Agatha: Today's MLB picks

Generated by Agatha from her own database, every number is a query, not an opinion. For entertainment and information; not gambling advice. 21+.

More from the Desk

Every story on the Desk