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MLB Heat Check

MLB Heat Check: San Diego Padres Are Scorching (8-2 Last 10)

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Ten games is not a season, but it is a mood, and moods decide a lot of games. The current mood around MLB: San Diego Padres keep winning, Oakland Athletics keep losing, and everybody else lives somewhere in the weather between.

The warm end of the table

San Diego Padres own the league's best recent ledger at 8-2, and the +21 runs margin underneath it says the record is earned. Per game the numbers read 4.7 for and 2.6 against, a gap that does not happen by accident across 10 games.

The chase belongs to St. Louis Cardinals, who have gone 7-3 with a +21 margin of their own.

Keep Philadelphia Phillies in the conversation too, at 7-3 over their last 10.

For scale, the league as a whole is averaging 4.4 runs a game over this window, San Diego Padres are clearing that bar by 0.3 a night all on their own.

The deep freeze

Oakland Athletics are the cold front. They have gone 1-9 over their last 10, and the -42 margin underneath means the losses have not even been close, roughly 4.2 runs a game the wrong way.

They have company at the cold end: Seattle Mariners, 3-7 over the same window.

The middle of the table is where the real congestion lives: Baltimore Orioles (5-5) and Kansas City Royals (5-5) are separated by almost nothing, and one good weekend reshuffles the whole neighborhood.

At a glance

Here is the warm half of the form table, last ten games for every club:

TeamLast 10Runs +/-
San Diego Padres8-2+21
St. Louis Cardinals7-3+21
Philadelphia Phillies7-3+11
Toronto Blue Jays7-3+8
Milwaukee Brewers6-4+19

The fine print

One reading tip before you go: runs margin travels better than record. A fat margin with a modest record usually means the wins are coming; the reverse usually means they are not.

One to circle: Athletics meet Kansas City Royals in their next game, and we will find out quickly whether this stretch travels.

More MLB on Agatha: Today's MLB picks

Generated by Agatha from her own database, every number is a query, not an opinion. For entertainment and information; not gambling advice. 21+.

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