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MLB Heat Check

MLB Heat Check, Toronto Blue Jays 7-3 in Their Last 10

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Ten games is not a season, but it is a mood, and moods decide a lot of games. The current mood around MLB: Toronto Blue Jays keep winning, Los Angeles Angels keep losing, and everybody else lives somewhere in the weather between.

The warm end of the table

Nobody is playing better than Toronto Blue Jays right now. The record says 7-3 over their last 10; the runs column says even more, a +16 margin that works out to 5.3 scored and 3.7 allowed a night.

The chase belongs to Philadelphia Phillies, who have gone 7-3 with a +12 margin of their own.

Cincinnati Reds (7-3) round out the warm end of the ledger.

Some context helps: across every club in the sample, scoring sits at 4.6 runs per game right now. Toronto Blue Jays are beating the league's own pace by 0.7 a game.

The cold end

At the bottom of the temperature map sit Los Angeles Angels: 2-8 in their last 10, -5 on runs margin. That is about 0.5 a game in the wrong direction, and no lineup shuffle fixes it overnight.

Detroit Tigers (3-7) share the cold row, for whatever comfort that provides.

The middle of the table is where the real congestion lives: Kansas City Royals (5-5) and Texas Rangers (5-5) are separated by almost nothing, and one good weekend reshuffles the whole neighborhood.

By the numbers

Here is the warm half of the form table, last ten games for every club:

TeamLast 10Runs +/-
Toronto Blue Jays7-3+16
Philadelphia Phillies7-3+12
Cincinnati Reds7-3-4
New York Yankees6-4+17
New York Mets6-4+9

One more thing

As always, watch where record and runs margin tell different stories about the same club. The margin tends to know first.

The schedule cooperates, too, Toronto Blue Jays face Athletics next, so this story gets its next chapter almost immediately.

More MLB on Agatha: Today's MLB picks

Generated by Agatha from her own database, every number is a query, not an opinion. For entertainment and information; not gambling advice. 21+.

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