AGATHANo gut feelings

Tennis

Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta Prediction

Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Round 1

Agatha's call

Daniil Medvedev to win76%

Price 1.29 at Fanatics

Projected sets: 2-0 (about 61% of that player's winning outcomes)

Why

Agatha rates Daniil Medvedev 1912 and Pablo Carreno Busta 1698 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007.

Net gap: 214 rating points toward Daniil Medvedev, which projects to a 76 percent match win.

Most-likely scoreline: Daniil Medvedev in 2-0, about 61 percent of that player's winning outcomes.

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Daniil Medvedev
1.26
Pablo Carreno Busta
3.80

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.27, now 1.27
  • Moneyline (home): opened 1.29, now 1.29