AGATHANo gut feelings

Tennis

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Final: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina def. Nikoloz Basilashvili, 2-1 in sets

Agatha's call

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win74%

Price 1.40 at FanDuel

Projected sets: 2-0 (about 60% of that player's winning outcomes)

Why

Agatha rates Nikoloz Basilashvili 1632 and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 1825 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007.

Net gap: 192 rating points toward Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, which projects to a 74 percent match win.

Most-likely scoreline: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina in 2-0, about 60 percent of that player's winning outcomes.

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Nikoloz Basilashvili
2.75
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1.44

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (9 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 3.00, now 3.00
  • Moneyline (home): opened 2.75, now 2.75