AGATHANo gut feelings

Tennis

Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul

Round 1

Agatha's call

Tommy Paul to win68%

Price 1.29 at FanDuel

Projected sets: 2-0 (about 57% of that player's winning outcomes)

Why

Agatha rates Alejandro Tabilo 1742 and Tommy Paul 1882 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007.

Net gap: 140 rating points toward Tommy Paul, which projects to a 68 percent match win.

Most-likely scoreline: Tommy Paul in 2-0, about 57 percent of that player's winning outcomes.

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Alejandro Tabilo
3.20
Tommy Paul
1.36

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (2 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 3.45, now 3.40
  • Moneyline (home): opened 3.40, now 3.40