AGATHANo gut feelings

Tennis

Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Luciano Darderi vs Casper Ruud

Round 1

Agatha's call

Casper Ruud to win63%

Price 1.46 at Ladbrokes

Projected sets: 2-0 (about 55% of that player's winning outcomes)

Why

Agatha rates Luciano Darderi 1710 and Casper Ruud 1816 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007.

Net gap: 106 rating points toward Casper Ruud, which projects to a 63 percent match win.

Most-likely scoreline: Casper Ruud in 2-0, about 55 percent of that player's winning outcomes.

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Luciano Darderi
2.93
Casper Ruud
1.43

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (9 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 3.60, now 3.00
  • Moneyline (home): opened 2.86, now 2.93