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Samuel vs Musetti Prediction

Tuesday, Nov 10, 2026, 1:30 PM ET, Round 2

Agatha Research Desk

Toby SamuelTobySamuel

PREDICTED SETS

0-2

AGATHA'S PICKLorenzo MusettiLorenzoMusetti
69%WIN CHANCEMusetti to WinSEALS AT 12:30 PM ET

Win chance can move until the seal

Agatha's pick: Musetti to WinTHE VERDICT
Samuel

Tale of the tape

Musetti

Samuel vs Musetti recent form

WHY

Samuel 3-2 Samuel: last 5 matches

  1. WNov 9 Nov 9 Leo Borg, 6-3, 6-2
  2. WNov 8 Nov 8 Adrian Mannarino, 3-6, 7-5, 6-1
  3. WNov 7 Nov 7 Karl Friberg, 7-6(5), 6-2
  4. LOct 20 Oct 20 Zizou Bergs, 3-6, 6-7(3)
  5. LSep 2 Sep 2 Jiri Lehecka, 4-6, 2-6, 4-6

Musetti 3-2 Musetti: last 5 matches

  1. LNov 5 Nov 5 Luca Van Assche, 5-7, 6-3, 4-6
  2. WNov 4 Nov 4 Alexander Zverev, 7-6(5), 6-2
  3. WNov 2 Nov 2 Hubert Hurkacz, 7-6(3), 7-6(10)
  4. LOct 29 Oct 29 Arthur Fery, 4-6, 7-5, 4-6
  5. WOct 28 Oct 28 Frances Tiafoe, 7-6(6), 7-5

Samuel vs Musetti player stats

WHY
Toby SamuelLorenzo Musetti
ATP rankinglower is betterSamuel No. 95624 ptsMusetti No. 251,895 pts
2026 recordSamuel 4-6Musetti 28-141 title
TitlesSamuel 0Musetti 310 finals

Who will win Samuel vs Musetti?

Lorenzo Musetti. Agatha gives Musetti a 69% chance to win and predicts a 2-0 win in sets. It is Agatha's prediction for this match, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picks Musetti

Lorenzo Musetti arrives with the better hard-court form. He beat Alexander Zverev 7-6, 6-2 in Round 2 of the Rolex Paris Masters on Nov 4 and is 22-10 on hard courts this year. Over their last ten matches, Musetti went 8-2 and Toby Samuel went 7-3. Agatha predicts straight sets and gives Musetti about a 7-in-10 chance to win. The risk is Samuel has won three matches in a row at the Bybit Stockholm Open and beat Leo Borg 6-3, 6-2.