AGATHANo gut feelings

Tennis

Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction

Kei Nishikori vs Frances Tiafoe

Round 1

Agatha's call

Frances Tiafoe to win64%

Price 1.20 at Pinnacle

Projected sets: 2-0 (about 55% of that player's winning outcomes)

Why

Agatha rates Kei Nishikori 1766 and Frances Tiafoe 1874 on hard, built match by match from every tour-level and slam result since 2007.

Net gap: 108 rating points toward Frances Tiafoe, which projects to a 64 percent match win.

Most-likely scoreline: Frances Tiafoe in 2-0, about 55 percent of that player's winning outcomes.

Market (latest pregame line)

Moneyline

Kei Nishikori
4.90
Frances Tiafoe
1.19

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (1 snapshot)

  • Moneyline (home): opened 4.33, now 4.33
  • Moneyline (home): opened 4.30, now 4.45