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Alouettes vs Argonauts Prediction

Friday, Oct 23, 2026, 7:00 PM ET, Week 21

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Montreal AlouettesMontrealAlouettes13-4

FINAL

3316

AGATHA'S PICKToronto ArgonautsTorontoArgonauts9-8
51%WIN CHANCEArgonauts to WinLOST#1584 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 51%

Agatha's pick: Argonauts to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Alouettes 33, Argonauts 16

SEALED ODDS
+149BetOnline
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
9:49 PM ETreceipt #1584
MTL

Tale of the tape

TOR

This season

Points per gameWHYMTL 34.8TOR 29.5
Points against per gamefewer is betterMTL 27.1TOR 29.1

Alouettes vs Argonauts recent form

WHY

MTL 3-2 Alouettes: last 5 games

  1. L12-16SSK Oct 17 Saskatchewan Roughriders, 12-16
  2. W44-24SSK Oct 12 Saskatchewan Roughriders, 44-24
  3. W37-10WPG Oct 3 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 37-10
  4. W37-25HAM Sep 18 Hamilton Tiger-Cats, 37-25
  5. L29-48BC Sep 12 BC Lions, 29-48

TOR 3-2 Argonauts: last 5 games

  1. L39-40OTT Oct 16 Ottawa RedBlacks, 39-40
  2. L17-24BC Oct 3 BC Lions, 17-24
  3. W30-28WPG Sep 25 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 30-28
  4. W24-19EDM Sep 19 Edmonton Elks, 24-19
  5. W26-23OTT Sep 12 Ottawa RedBlacks, 26-23
Points scored, last 5MTL 159TOR 136
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterMTL 123TOR 134

Alouettes vs Argonauts head-to-head

WHY

Since Jun 28, 2024: Alouettes 5, Argonauts 3

  1. Jun 12, 2026Alouettes 37-30
  2. Sep 19, 2025Alouettes 21-19
  3. Jul 17, 2025Alouettes 26-25
  4. Jun 6, 2025Alouettes 28-10
  5. Nov 9, 2024Argonauts 30-28
  6. Sep 28, 2024Argonauts 37-31
  7. Jul 11, 2024Argonauts 37-18
  8. Jun 28, 2024Alouettes 30-20

Alouettes vs Argonauts line movement

MONEYLINE Argonauts to win at BetOnline

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (TOR)

+2.5

Total

50.5

Moneyline

MTL
-161
TOR
+130

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (8 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (TOR) at FanDuel: opened -118, now +130
  • Spread (TOR) at FanDuel: opened -1.5, now +2.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 54.5, now 52.5

Agatha's pick for Alouettes vs Argonauts

The Argonauts. Agatha gave Toronto a 51% chance to win. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picked the Argonauts

The Argonauts are at home at BMO Field, and that counts. They score 29.5 points a game this season and last played on Oct 16, with six days off since. The Alouettes arrive off a 16-12 loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders on Oct 17. Agatha has the Argonauts winning 30-29, a coin flip. The risk is the Alouettes won the latest meeting, 37-30, on Jun 12, 2026, and won four of the six meetings since Sep 28, 2024.

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM ETMontreal Alouettes vs Edmonton ElksAgatha's call: Montreal Alouettes to win, 58%