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Alouettes vs Roughriders Prediction

Saturday, Oct 17, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, Week 20

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

AGATHA'S PICKMontreal AlouettesMontrealAlouettes13-3

FINAL

1216

Saskatchewan RoughridersSaskatchewanRoughriders8-8
61%WIN CHANCEAlouettes to WinLOST#1196 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 61%

Agatha's pick: Alouettes to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Roughriders 16, Alouettes 12

SEALED ODDS
+255FanDuel
CLOSING ODDS
+220FanDuel, at the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
5:54 PM ETreceipt #1196
MTL

Tale of the tape

SSK

This season

Points per gameMTL 36.2SSK 28.4
Points against per gamefewer is betterMTL 27.8SSK 28.3

Alouettes vs Roughriders recent form

WHY

MTL 4-1 Alouettes: last 5 games

  1. W44-24SSK Oct 12 Saskatchewan Roughriders, 44-24
  2. W37-10WPG Oct 3 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 37-10
  3. W37-25HAM Sep 18 Hamilton Tiger-Cats, 37-25
  4. L29-48BC Sep 12 BC Lions, 29-48
  5. W37-30BC Sep 4 BC Lions, 37-30

SSK 1-4 Roughriders: last 5 games

  1. L24-44MTL Oct 12 Montreal Alouettes, 24-44
  2. L31-37CGY Oct 2 Calgary Stampeders, 31-37
  3. L24-31BC Sep 25 BC Lions, 24-31
  4. L6-19WPG Sep 12 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 6-19
  5. W32-26WPG Sep 6 Winnipeg Blue Bombers, 32-26
Points scored, last 5MTL 184SSK 117
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterMTL 137SSK 157

Alouettes vs Roughriders head-to-head

WHY

Since Jul 25, 2024: Alouettes 4, Roughriders 2

  1. Oct 12, 2026Alouettes 44-24
  2. Nov 16, 2025Roughriders 25-17
  3. Sep 13, 2025Alouettes 48-31
  4. Aug 2, 2025Roughriders 34-6
  5. Aug 16, 2024Alouettes 27-24
  6. Jul 25, 2024Alouettes 20-16

Alouettes vs Roughriders line movement

MONEYLINE Alouettes to win at FanDuel

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (SSK)

-6.5

Total

57.5

Moneyline

MTL
+220
SSK
-275

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (14 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (SSK) at FanDuel: opened -130, now -275
  • Spread (SSK) at FanDuel: opened -1.5, now -6.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 59.5, now 56.5

Agatha's pick for Alouettes vs Roughriders

The Alouettes. Agatha gave Montreal a 61% chance to win. It was Agatha's prediction for this game, sealed and graded like every pick.

Why Agatha picked the Alouettes

The latest meeting decides it: the Montreal Alouettes won 44-24 on Oct 12, 2026, and have taken four of the six meetings since Jul 25, 2024. The Alouettes have won three games in a row, and the Roughriders have lost four in a row. The Alouettes are 13-3 this season, the Roughriders 8-8. Agatha has the Alouettes winning 31-27, close to a 6-in-10 chance. The risk is the Roughriders' home ground, Mosaic Stadium in Regina, and the Alouettes' 48-29 loss to the BC Lions on Sep 12.

Agatha's other picks on this game

  1. cflFINAL
    Jerreth Sterns Under 82.5 receiving yards
    Montreal Alouettes at Saskatchewan Roughriders - 3:00 PM ET
    82%
    WONPRED1U
    WON
    SEALED ODDS-115DraftKings

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM ETMontreal Alouettes vs Edmonton ElksAgatha's call: Montreal Alouettes to win, 58%