AGATHANo gut feelings

Blue Bombers vs Lions Prediction

Friday, Oct 23, 2026, 10:00 PM ET, Week 21

Agatha Research Desk, Updated

Winnipeg Blue BombersWinnipegBlue Bombers8-9

FINAL

3410

AGATHA'S PICKBC LionsBCLions10-7
55%WIN CHANCELions to WinLOST#1609 SEALED

Win chance at the seal 55%

Agatha's pick: Lions to WinTHE VERDICT

Final score: Blue Bombers 34, Lions 10

SEALED ODDS
+330FanDuel
CLOSING ODDS
Same as sealedat the start
STAKE
1 unitflat, every pick
RESULT
LOST -1.00uat the sealed price
GRADED
1:01 AM ETreceipt #1609
WPG

Tale of the tape

BC

This season

Points per gameWHYWPG 26.1BC 29.8
Points against per gamefewer is betterWPG 28.4BC 26.5

Blue Bombers vs Lions recent form

WHY

WPG 2-3 Blue Bombers: last 5 games

  1. L27-35EDM Oct 16 Edmonton Elks, 27-35
  2. W33-28CGY Oct 10 Calgary Stampeders, 33-28
  3. L10-37MTL Oct 3 Montreal Alouettes, 10-37
  4. L28-30TOR Sep 25 Toronto Argonauts, 28-30
  5. W19-6SSK Sep 12 Saskatchewan Roughriders, 19-6

BC 4-1 Lions: last 5 games

  1. L13-32CGY Oct 17 Calgary Stampeders, 13-32
  2. W41-20OTT Oct 9 Ottawa RedBlacks, 41-20
  3. W24-17TOR Oct 3 Toronto Argonauts, 24-17
  4. W31-24SSK Sep 25 Saskatchewan Roughriders, 31-24
  5. W48-29MTL Sep 12 Montreal Alouettes, 48-29
Points scored, last 5WPG 117BC 157
Points allowed, last 5fewer is betterWPG 136BC 122

Blue Bombers vs Lions head-to-head

Since Nov 11, 2023: Blue Bombers 5, Lions 2

  1. Jul 30, 2026Lions 35-19
  2. Jun 21, 2025Blue Bombers 27-14
  3. Jun 12, 2025Blue Bombers 34-20
  4. Aug 18, 2024Blue Bombers 20-11
  5. Aug 1, 2024Blue Bombers 25-0
  6. Jun 21, 2024Lions 26-24
  7. Nov 11, 2023Blue Bombers 24-13

Blue Bombers vs Lions line movement

MONEYLINE Lions to win at FanDuel

Market (latest pregame line)

Spread (BC)

+8

Total

53.5

Moneyline

WPG
-335
BC
+245

Line movement, tracked by Agatha since first sighting (4 snapshots)

  • Moneyline (BC) at FanDuel: opened +265, now +330
  • Spread (BC) at FanDuel: opened +7.5, now +7.5
  • Total at FanDuel: opened 54.5, now 54.5

Agatha's pick for Blue Bombers vs Lions

The Lions. Agatha gave BC a 55% chance to win. It was one of Agatha's Best CFL Bets for Oct 23.

Why Agatha picked the Lions

The BC Lions score 29.8 points a game and allow 26.5 this season, while the Blue Bombers score 26.1 and allow 28.4. The Lions are 10-7 this season and went 8-2 over their last ten games, and they beat the Ottawa RedBlacks 41-20 on Oct 9. Agatha's prediction is a 31-30 Lions win, slightly better than even. The risk is Kaidon Salter starts for the Lions in place of Nathan Rourke, and the Lions lost 32-13 to the Calgary Stampeders.

Up next

  1. Sun, Nov 15, 6:00 PM ETMontreal Alouettes vs Edmonton ElksAgatha's call: Montreal Alouettes to win, 58%